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InTheRafters.com

MIA @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET⚾ Eury Perez vs Will WarrenMLB.TVMarlins.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Miami Marlins 2 · New York Yankees 8

Final
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

New York Yankees gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with New York Yankees’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 81%. Actual: New York Yankees by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Miami Marlins

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRice homered to right (353 feet).7th Inning2–6
  2. ScoreGrisham walked, Chisholm Jr. scored, McMahon to second, Caballero to third.2nd Inning1–3
  3. ScoreWells scored on Phillips wild pitch, Judge to second on wild pitch by Phillips, Caballero to third on wild pitch by Phillips.6th Inning2–5
  4. ScoreWells scored on Phillips wild pitch, Judge to second on wild pitch by Phillips, Caballero to third on wild pitch by Phillips.6th Inning2–5
  5. ScoreCaissie homered to right center (379 feet).5th Inning2–4
  6. ScoreJudge homered to left (387 feet), Grisham scored.1st Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Miami Marlins100010000241
New York Yankees22000112—860

Miami Marlins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee CF·0-4400000215.115.200.231
Xavier Edwards 2B·2-4412110010.423.444.577
Agustin Ramirez C·1-330100018.211.375.263
Liam Hicks C·0-4400000015.368.435.895
Otto Lopez SS·0-3300000215.280.357.520
Owen Caissie RF·1-3311110115.348.385.696
Connor Norby 1B·0-3300000211.150.292.250
Griffin Conine LF·0-2200000110.333.385.667
Austin Slater LF0-110000003.000.000.000
Leo Jimenez 2B0-000000000.000.000.000
Graham Pauley 3B·0-220000004.200.200.333
Heriberto Hernandez LF0-110000014.133.316.133

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eury Perez SP·4.024464184-455.7384
Tyler Phillips RP2.011023052-280.0052
Michael Petersen RP1.011111120-123.0020
Lake Bachar RP1.022222024-146.7524

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-2210103128.182.357.318
Aaron Judge RF·2-3322311118.185.267.519
Cody Bellinger LF·1-4411001021.280.400.400
Ben Rice 1B·2-5512310325.409.500.864
Giancarlo Stanton DH·0-5500000118.400.400.600
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-3311001114.231.286.308
Austin Wells C·0-2210002119.167.286.167
Jose Caballero SS·0-3310001117.167.231.167
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-2200002120.059.238.059

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Will Warren SP·5.242206277-472.7077
Tim Hill RP0.10000002-10.002
Jake Bird RP1.000002011-70.0011
Brent Headrick RP1.000002010-80.0010
Ryan Yarbrough RP1.000000010-50.0010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningHicks flied out to left.
  2. 6th InningGrisham struck out looking.
  3. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  4. 6th InningBellinger flied out to center.
  5. 6th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Looking
  6. 9th InningRamírez picked off second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningRice homered to right (353 feet).2–6
  2. 2nd InningGrisham walked, Chisholm Jr. scored, McMahon to second, Caballero to third.1–3
  3. 6th InningWells scored on Phillips wild pitch, Judge to second on wild pitch by Phillips, Caballero to third on wild pitch by Phillips.2–5
  4. 6th InningWells scored on Phillips wild pitch, Judge to second on wild pitch by Phillips, Caballero to third on wild pitch by Phillips.2–5
  5. 5th InningCaissie homered to right center (379 feet).2–4
  6. 1st InningJudge homered to left (387 feet), Grisham scored.1–2
  7. 8th InningRice doubled to center, Bellinger scored and Judge scored.2–8
  8. 2nd InningJudge hit by pitch, Caballero scored, Grisham to second, McMahon to third.1–4
  9. 1st InningEdwards homered to right center (377 feet).1–0

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