PHI @ COL
Coors Field · Denver, Colorado
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor2:10 PM MT46°F · 2 mph wind · overcast⚾ Aaron Nola vs Michael LorenzenMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies 10 · Colorado Rockies 1
Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Philadelphia Phillies on the back of Philadelphia Phillies’s margin work and Philadelphia Phillies’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 81%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 9.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 81%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 9.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreCastro grounded out to second, Moniak scored, Rumfield to second.9–1
- ScoreTurner singled to right, Realmuto scored.7–0
- ScoreHarper homered to right center (421 feet).8–0
- ScoreMarsh homered to right center (454 feet), Bohm scored and Stott scored.6–0
- ScoreBohm singled to center, Schwarber scored and Turner scored, Harper to third.2–0
- 🏃 DoubleStott doubled to right, Harper scored, Bohm to third.3–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .267 | .313 | .333 |
| Edmundo Sosa 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .111 | .200 | .111 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .200 | .375 | .600 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .179 | .258 | .429 |
| Dylan Moore CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .000 | .500 | .000 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .154 | .290 | .269 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .286 | .300 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .308 | .321 | .500 |
| Otto Kemp LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .143 | .250 | .143 |
| Brandon Marsh LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .320 | .370 | .520 |
| J.T. Realmuto C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .211 | .375 | .421 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .333 | .364 | .381 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola SP· | 6.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 95-63 | 3.18 | 95 |
| Kyle Backhus RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 13.50 | 9 |
| Tim Mayza RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-8 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Zach Pop RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17-10 | 4.50 | 17 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Johnston RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .316 | .316 | .526 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .250 | .300 | .393 |
| Mickey Moniak LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .300 | .300 | .467 |
| Edouard Julien 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .111 | .200 | .222 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .375 | .444 | .542 |
| Willi Castro 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .148 | .207 | .259 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | .167 | .231 | .208 |
| Jake McCarthy LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .095 | .136 | .143 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .182 | .250 | .227 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen SP· | 3.0 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 77-50 | 14.73 | 77 |
| Valente Bellozo RP | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 77-48 | 1.50 | 77 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningJohnston grounded out to shortstop.
- 8th InningMoore struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningCastro grounded out to second, Moniak scored, Rumfield to second.9–1
- 1st InningTurner singled to right, Realmuto scored.7–0
- 2nd InningHarper homered to right center (421 feet).8–0
- 1st InningMarsh homered to right center (454 feet), Bohm scored and Stott scored.6–0
- 1st InningBohm singled to center, Schwarber scored and Turner scored, Harper to third.2–0
- 1st InningStott doubled to right, Harper scored, Bohm to third.3–0
- 5th InningSchwarber homered to right (460 feet).10–1
- 3rd InningBohm reached on infield single to shortstop, Turner scored, Harper to third.9–0