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In The Rafters

TB @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Afternoon GameOutdoor4:05 PM CT⚾ Joe Boyle vs Bailey OberMLB.TVTwins.TVRays.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins

Tampa Bay Rays 4 · Minnesota Twins 10

Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Minnesota Twins: Tampa Bay Rays’s scoring margin profile and Tampa Bay Rays’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 91%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40
Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMullins singled to center, Fortes scored.8th Inning4–10
  2. ScoreLewis walked, Bell scored, Martin to second, Jeffers to third.7th Inning3–6
  3. ScoreLarnach walked, Keaschall scored, Jeffers to second, Bell to third.7th Inning3–5
  4. ScoreGray hit sacrifice fly to right, Jeffers scored, Larnach to third.4th Inning3–3
  5. 🏃 DoubleWilliamson doubled to left, Fraley scored.4th Inning3–0
  6. ScoreGray homered to right (374 feet), Jeffers scored, Martin scored and Lewis scored.7th Inning3–10

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays200100010483
Minnesota Twins00030070—1070

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-2211002016.433.485.667
Ryan Vilade RF0-110000013.000.111.000
Jonathan Aranda 1B·0-5500000127.250.353.500
Junior Caminero 3B·2-5512000023.269.406.308
Jake Fraley RF·1-331100009.313.313.500
Jonny DeLuca RF0-110000002.333.375.600
Nick Fortes C·1-3311200111.348.400.565
Cedric Mullins CF·1-4401100123.080.111.120
Ben Williamson 2B·2-4402100021.292.292.333
Chandler Simpson LF·0-3300001013.417.481.500
Carson Williams SS·0-4400000317.130.167.174

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joe Boyle SP·5.1432390104-673.18104
Hunter Bigge RP0.200011016-80.0016
Kevin Kelly RP0.126521033-1827.0033
Yoendrys Gomez RP1.211101123-163.1823

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kody Clemens 1B·0-4400001322.188.316.375
Byron Buxton CF·0-3300000115.154.207.269
James Outman CF0-111000006.000.167.000
Luke Keaschall 2B·1-5521000021.214.258.250
Matt Wallner RF·0-5500000522.143.226.357
Josh Bell 1B·2-5522200221.261.400.652
Ryan Jeffers C·2-3322000112.294.400.353
Trevor Larnach LF·1-2201102023.375.583.625
Austin Martin LF0-001000000.273.500.273
Royce Lewis 3B·0-2210202016.190.320.571
Tristan Gray 3B·1-2211511018.364.429.727

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bailey Ober SP·4.043324082-456.7582
Eric Orze RP2.010010037-220.0037
Justin Topa RP0.220002017-112.0817
Kody Funderburk RP0.10000002-14.502
Anthony Banda RP1.011100017-102.7017
Cody Laweryson RP1.000001010-811.5710

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningKeaschall safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Caminero.
  2. 3rd InningClemens struck out swinging.
  3. 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  4. 5th InningCaminero fouled out to first.
  5. 3rd InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningMullins singled to center, Fortes scored.4–10
  2. 7th InningLewis walked, Bell scored, Martin to second, Jeffers to third.3–6
  3. 7th InningLarnach walked, Keaschall scored, Jeffers to second, Bell to third.3–5
  4. 4th InningGray hit sacrifice fly to right, Jeffers scored, Larnach to third.3–3
  5. 4th InningWilliamson doubled to left, Fraley scored.3–0
  6. 7th InningGray homered to right (374 feet), Jeffers scored, Martin scored and Lewis scored.3–10
  7. 1st InningFortes doubled to left, Caminero scored and Díaz scored.2–0
  8. 4th InningBell doubled to right, Keaschall scored.3–1
  9. 4th InningLewis grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Bell scored, Larnach safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Williams, Jeffers to third.3–2
  10. 7th InningBell singled to center, Outman scored, Keaschall to second.3–4

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