PHI @ COL
Coors Field · Denver, Colorado
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM MT46°F · clear⚾ Jesus Luzardo vs Brennan BernardinoMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies 2 · Colorado Rockies 1
Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Philadelphia Phillies because Philadelphia Phillies owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 86%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 86%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleSchwarber doubled to left, Turner scored.1–0
- 🏃 DoubleTurner doubled to left, Marsh scored, Crawford to third.2–1
- ScoreSullivan singled to right, Johnston scored.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .294 | .351 | .382 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | .207 | .378 | .586 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .156 | .229 | .375 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .167 | .286 | .267 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .261 | .320 | .304 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .267 | .281 | .433 |
| Brandon Marsh LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .310 | .355 | .483 |
| J.T. Realmuto C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .182 | .357 | .364 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .320 | .346 | .360 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo SP· | 6.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 99-72 | 4.97 | 99 |
| Jose Alvarado RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-5 | 13.50 | 12 |
| Brad Keller RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-11 | 6.75 | 13 |
| Jhoan Duran RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8-7 | 1.93 | 8 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .400 | .400 | .400 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .148 | .207 | .185 |
| Mickey Moniak LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
| Victor Vodnik RP | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .219 | .265 | .344 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .294 | .294 | .441 |
| Jordan Beck LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .105 | .190 | .158 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .360 | .429 | .520 |
| Willi Castro 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | .129 | .182 | .226 |
| Troy Johnston RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .333 | .364 | .524 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .200 | .259 | .240 |
| Brett Sullivan C· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .300 | .364 | .300 |
| Jake McCarthy LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .095 | .136 | .143 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Bernardino RP· | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21-10 | 2.45 | 21 |
| Jimmy Herget RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15-11 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Chase Dollander SP | 4.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 71-49 | 5.40 | 71 |
| Jaden Hill RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14-6 | 2.70 | 14 |
| Juan Mejia RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-13 | 4.15 | 14 |
| Victor Vodnik RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 6.00 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningFreeman flied out to left.
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 3rd InningKarros flied out to center, Johnston to third.
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball 2
- 3rd InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningSchwarber doubled to left, Turner scored.1–0
- 5th InningTurner doubled to left, Marsh scored, Crawford to third.2–1
- 3rd InningSullivan singled to right, Johnston scored.1–1