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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Kyle Harrison vs Kris BubicMLB.TVRoyals.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 8 · Kansas City Royals 5

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Milwaukee Brewers on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 88%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLockridge singled to center, Bauers scored.9th Inning8–5
  2. ScoreSánchez homered to left center (414 feet), Yelich scored.1st Inning3–0
  3. 🏃 TripleYelich tripled to left, Contreras scored.1st Inning1–0
  4. ScoreGarcia homered to left (388 feet), India scored.3rd Inning3–2
  5. ScorePasquantino singled to left, Collins scored and India scored, Garcia to second.7th Inning6–5
  6. ScoreGarcia singled to left, Marte scored, Collins to second, India to third.7th Inning6–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers3001002028100
Kansas City Royals002000300590

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·0-3310002018.303.425.576
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-5511000116.217.280.348
William Contreras C·2-3312202023.300.432.533
Christian Yelich LF·2-5522100124.353.389.529
Gary Sanchez C·1-3311211123.308.4381.000
Jake Bauers 1B1-111110001.233.281.467
Luis Matos RF·1-4401000318.250.400.250
Garrett Mitchell CF0-000000107.318.423.591
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-2211102021.348.423.391
Blake Perkins LF·1-5501100319.118.211.235
Joey Ortiz SS·0-4400000215.269.321.269

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Harrison SP·5.132226190-552.6190
Grant Anderson RP0.222211012-73.1812
Abner Uribe RP0.121101014-82.4514
Angel Zerpa RP1.210011023-160.0023
Trevor Megill RP1.010000012-82.2512

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·2-5512310117.333.425.485
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·1-4401001121.242.333.242
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·2-5502200116.206.300.235
Salvador Perez C·1-4401000013.206.270.441
Lane Thomas CF·0-3300001012.118.250.176
Jac Caglianone RF·0-4400000314.286.375.357
Starling Marte RF·1-4411000216.200.200.300
Jonathan India 2B·0-1120002022.208.321.333
Tyler Tolbert LF0-000000000.000.000.000
Nick Loftin 3B·1-220100017.222.364.333
Isaac Collins LF1-2211000013.250.379.417

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kris Bubic SP·5.044438196-584.0996
Nick Mears RP1.010010014-70.0014
Matt Strahm RP1.022211029-174.9129
Steven Cruz RP1.000021016-97.3616
Lucas Erceg RP1.032211030-174.9130

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMitchell walked.
  2. 7th InningCollins singled to right, India to second, Marte to third.
  3. 3rd InningRengifo struck out swinging.
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningLockridge singled to center, Bauers scored.8–5
  2. 1st InningSánchez homered to left center (414 feet), Yelich scored.3–0
  3. 1st InningYelich tripled to left, Contreras scored.1–0
  4. 3rd InningGarcia homered to left (388 feet), India scored.3–2
  5. 7th InningPasquantino singled to left, Collins scored and India scored, Garcia to second.6–5
  6. 7th InningGarcia singled to left, Marte scored, Collins to second, India to third.6–3
  7. 7th InningContreras singled to left, Turang scored and Rengifo scored.6–2
  8. 4th InningPerkins doubled to left, Lockridge scored.4–2
  9. 9th InningBauers doubled to center, Yelich scored.7–5

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