NYM @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM PT70°F · 13 mph wind · overcast⚾ Kodai Senga vs Logan WebbMLB.TV
Result readNew York Mets
New York Mets 5 · San Francisco Giants 2
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans New York Mets because New York Mets owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Mets has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 79%. Actual: New York Mets by 3.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 79%. Actual: New York Mets by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleTorrens doubled to right, Robert Jr. scored and Taylor scored.3–2
- 💣 Home RunVientos reached on infield single to third, Torrens scored on throwing error by third baseman Chapman, Vientos to second.4–2
- ScoreVientos singled to left, Robert Jr. scored, Young to second.1–0
- 🏃 DoubleSemien doubled to left, Vientos scored.5–2
- ScoreDevers singled to center, Chapman scored.1–2
- 🏃 DoubleChapman doubled to left, Bailey scored.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor SS· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .135 | .333 | .243 |
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | .200 | .229 | .244 |
| Jorge Polanco 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .188 | .297 | .281 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .154 | .154 | .385 |
| Luis Robert Jr. CF· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .333 | .474 | .433 |
| Jared Young 1B· | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .385 | .467 | .538 |
| Luis Torrens C | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .333 | .333 | .417 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .476 | .522 | .714 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .257 | .341 | .400 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .100 | .206 | .200 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .292 | .370 | .708 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Devin Williams RP | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga SP· | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 88-55 | 3.09 | 88 |
| Huascar Brazoban RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-7 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-10 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Devin Williams RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21-13 | 0.00 | 21 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .184 | .244 | .316 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .275 | .286 | .350 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .237 | .310 | .368 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .211 | .286 | .316 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .205 | .244 | .231 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .152 | .256 | .242 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .300 | .300 | .400 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .118 | .162 | .235 |
| Patrick Bailey C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .111 | .200 | .111 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb SP· | 7.0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 92-61 | 5.00 | 92 |
| Keaton Winn RP | 0.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-5 | 6.23 | 8 |
| Erik Miller RP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24-15 | 12.00 | 24 |
| JT Brubaker RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19-12 | 4.05 | 19 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningTorrens doubled to right, Robert Jr. scored and Taylor scored.3–2
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 9th InningBichette walked.
- 8th InningRobert Jr. stole second.
- 9th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 8th InningRobert Jr. stole second.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningTorrens doubled to right, Robert Jr. scored and Taylor scored.3–2
- 8th InningVientos reached on infield single to third, Torrens scored on throwing error by third baseman Chapman, Vientos to second.4–2
- 2nd InningVientos singled to left, Robert Jr. scored, Young to second.1–0
- 8th InningSemien doubled to left, Vientos scored.5–2
- 6th InningDevers singled to center, Chapman scored.1–2
- 6th InningChapman doubled to left, Bailey scored.1–1