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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MT65°F · 5 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Taijuan Walker vs Tomoyuki SuganoMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

Philadelphia Phillies 1 · Colorado Rockies 4

Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Colorado Rockies: Philadelphia Phillies’s scoring margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 87%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGarcía homered to right center (405 feet).2nd Inning1–3
  2. ScoreMoniak homered to right (433 feet).1st Inning0–1
  3. ScoreMoniak homered to right center (437 feet).5th Inning1–4
  4. ScoreRumfield homered to right (387 feet), Goodman scored.1st Inning0–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Philadelphia Phillies010000000161
Colorado Rockies30001000—471

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·1-4401000110.289.341.395
Kyle Schwarber LF·0-3300001120.188.366.531
Bryce Harper 1B·0-4400000217.139.205.333
Alec Bohm 3B·1-4401000113.176.282.265
Bryson Stott 2B·0-4400000217.222.276.259
Adolis Garcia RF·2-4412110016.294.306.529
Brandon Marsh LF·1-4401000214.303.343.485
Rafael Marchan C·0-4400000112.143.250.571
Justin Crawford CF·1-330100005.321.345.357

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Taijuan Walker SP·5.074424387-579.3187
Tim Mayza RP1.000001013-70.0013
Tanner Banks RP1.00000108-52.458
Kyle Backhus RP1.000002012-89.0012

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Troy Johnston RF·0-4400000111.280.308.440
Ezequiel Tovar SS·0-3300001118.270.289.405
Mickey Moniak LF·2-4422220116.333.3331.000
Hunter Goodman C·2-4412000221.250.289.361
TJ Rumfield 1B·1-441121009.345.406.586
Willi Castro 2B·1-2201001116.152.222.242
Jordan Beck LF·0-3300000111.091.167.136
Jake McCarthy LF·1-220100007.130.167.217
Brenton Doyle CF0-110000004.143.200.179
Edouard Julien 2B·0-220000015.091.167.182
Kyle Karros 3B0-110000002.192.250.231

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tomoyuki Sugano SP·6.041115178-511.6978
Jaden Hill RP1.000000010-82.0810
Brennan Bernardino RP1.000002014-101.9314
Victor Vodnik RP1.020003022-164.5022

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningStott struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 1st InningSchwarber walked.
  4. 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningGarcía homered to right center (405 feet).1–3
  2. 1st InningMoniak homered to right (433 feet).0–1
  3. 5th InningMoniak homered to right center (437 feet).1–4
  4. 1st InningRumfield homered to right (387 feet), Goodman scored.0–3

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