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InTheRafters.com

SEA @ LAA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:07 PM PT⚾ Luis Castillo vs George KlassenMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels

Seattle Mariners 7 · Los Angeles Angels 8

Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Angels gets the model’s nod thanks to Seattle Mariners’s margin advantage, with Los Angeles Angels’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 70%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL

Seattle Mariners

Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Seattle Mariners
RA R. Arozarena LF · #56 JR J. Rodriguez CF · #44 LR Luke Raley RF · #20 LR Leo Rivas 3B · #76 CR J.P. Crawford SS · #3 CY Cole Young 2B · #2 JN Josh Naylor 1B · #12 BW Bryan Woo P · #22 CR Cal Raleigh C · #29
Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLowe scored on error, Neto safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Rivas, O'Hoppe safe at third on error.4th Inning2–3
  2. ScoreRodríguez singled to left, Raleigh scored.9th Inning6–6
  3. ScoreSchanuel reached on infield single to shortstop, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second.4th Inning2–4
  4. ScoreArozarena singled to right, Rodríguez scored.10th Inning7–6
  5. ScoreSoler singled to left, Neto scored.1st Inning0–1
  6. ScoreO'Hoppe hit sacrifice fly to center, Adell scored.10th Inning7–7

Scoring by Inning

Team1234567891011RHE
Seattle Mariners02003000110771
Los Angeles Angels101220000118110

Seattle Mariners

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Luke Raley RF·1-5501000427.214.267.571
Cal Raleigh C·1-5511001326.132.233.184
Julio Rodriguez CF·1-5511100227.154.250.154
Josh Naylor 1B·1-5501000011.125.205.125
Randy Arozarena LF·1-2221102025.294.455.382
J.P. Crawford SS·0-4410001218.100.308.200
Cole Young 2B·1-4421311021.278.333.556
Mitch Garver C·0-3300001318.000.375.000
Dominic Canzone RF0-110000005.263.333.632
Gabe Speier RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Leo Rivas 3B·1-3301202116.161.278.226

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Castillo SP·3.264314084-532.7984
Jose Ferrer RP1.042201019-146.0019
Cole Wilcox RP1.100012023-140.0023
Casey Legumina RP2.010000026-150.0026
Andres Munoz RP1.000001016-104.5016
Matt Brash RP1.001001010-80.0010
Gabe Speier RP0.20101003-34.503

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-5511101223.231.362.513
Mike Trout CF·1-4411000223.212.435.424
Oswald Peraza 2B0-000000001.259.310.407
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-5501200015.243.310.432
Jorge Soler RF·2-4402201122.189.295.297
Jeimer Candelario 3B·1-5511000021.154.154.308
Jo Adell RF·1-5521100227.237.275.237
Josh Lowe LF·0-2210000116.103.188.241
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000003.000.000.000
Logan O'Hoppe C·1-3311101019.231.300.231
Adam Frazier 2B·3-4413100111.429.500.571

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
George Klassen SP·2.232254073-406.7573
Ryan Zeferjahn RP2.002215027-173.8627
Brent Suter RP2.111113139-223.6839
Sam Bachman RP2.021102028-171.5928
Shaun Anderson RP2.011011027-151.8027

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningNeto struck out swinging.
  2. 7th InningAdell lined out to pitcher.
  3. 5th InningPitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningLowe scored on error, Neto safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Rivas, O'Hoppe safe at third on error.2–3
  2. 9th InningRodríguez singled to left, Raleigh scored.6–6
  3. 4th InningSchanuel reached on infield single to shortstop, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second.2–4
  4. 10th InningArozarena singled to right, Rodríguez scored.7–6
  5. 1st InningSoler singled to left, Neto scored.0–1
  6. 10th InningO'Hoppe hit sacrifice fly to center, Adell scored.7–7
  7. 5th InningAdell singled to left, Candelario scored.5–5
  8. 5th InningYoung homered to right (394 feet), Arozarena scored and Crawford scored.5–4
  9. 11th InningSchanuel hit sacrifice fly to left, Frazier scored.7–8
  10. 5th InningFrazier singled to left, Adell scored.5–6
  11. 3rd InningSoler singled to right, Trout scored.2–2
  12. 2nd InningRivas singled to center, Arozarena scored and Young scored, Garver to second.2–1

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