ATL @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT59°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Chris Sale vs Jose SorianoESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVBravesVision
Result readLos Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves 2 · Los Angeles Angels 6
Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Angels is the model’s call — Atlanta Braves on the margin numbers, Atlanta Braves on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 97%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 4.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 97%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreO'Hoppe walked, Soler scored, Candelario to second, Adell to third.1–2
- ScoreDubón homered to left (372 feet).2–6
- ScoreBaldwin homered to right center (397 feet).1–0
- ScoreTeodosio reached on infield single to shortstop, O'Hoppe scored, Moncada to second, Peraza to third.1–4
- ScoreAdell homered to left center (411 feet), Soler scored.1–6
- ScoreMoncada hit by pitch, Candelario scored, Peraza to second, O'Hoppe to third.1–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 5 | 0 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .175 | .292 | .200 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .318 | .388 | .682 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .286 | .362 | .548 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .162 | .262 | .189 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .235 | .316 | .353 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .279 | .326 | .419 |
| Dominic Smith 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .292 | .346 | .542 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .209 | .227 | .302 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .333 | .368 | .556 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale SP· | 4.0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 77-51 | 3.94 | 77 |
| Joel Payamps RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-10 | 3.86 | 11 |
| Aaron Bummer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-5 | 0.00 | 7 |
| Osvaldo Bido RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-12 | 1.50 | 18 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .233 | .353 | .558 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .200 | .313 | .300 |
| Josh Lowe LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .103 | .188 | .241 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .262 | .295 | .333 |
| Jeimer Candelario 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .125 | .176 | .250 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .214 | .324 | .214 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .226 | .273 | .355 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .100 | .270 | .200 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .143 | .143 | .143 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .300 | .364 | .400 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Soriano SP· | 8.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 97-69 | 0.45 | 97 |
| Chase Silseth RP | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28-19 | 1.80 | 28 |
| Jordan Romano RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 0.00 | 3 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningRiley walked.
- 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
- 9th InningBaldwin singled to center.
- 5th InningAlbies struck out swinging.
- 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningO'Hoppe walked, Soler scored, Candelario to second, Adell to third.1–2
- 9th InningDubón homered to left (372 feet).2–6
- 1st InningBaldwin homered to right center (397 feet).1–0
- 4th InningTeodosio reached on infield single to shortstop, O'Hoppe scored, Moncada to second, Peraza to third.1–4
- 5th InningAdell homered to left center (411 feet), Soler scored.1–6
- 4th InningMoncada hit by pitch, Candelario scored, Peraza to second, O'Hoppe to third.1–3
- 1st InningNeto homered to left (400 feet).1–1