KC @ CLE
Progressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM ET⚾ Michael Wacha vs Tanner BibeeMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals 4 · Cleveland Guardians 2
Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Kansas City Royals is the model’s call — Cleveland Guardians on the margin numbers, Kansas City Royals on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 50%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 50%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Injury Report
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
Kansas City Royals
Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRocchio homered to left center (377 feet).4–2
- ScoreIndia homered to left center (380 feet), Jensen scored.4–1
- ScoreIndia singled to right, Pasquantino scored, Jensen to third.1–1
- ScoreJensen homered to right (359 feet).2–1
- ScoreKwan homered to right (381 feet).0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .342 | .422 | .526 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .270 | .364 | .270 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .211 | .311 | .237 |
| Salvador Perez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .184 | .244 | .395 |
| Carter Jensen C· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .250 | .296 | .542 |
| Jonathan India 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .250 | .344 | .464 |
| Michael Massey 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jac Caglianone RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .281 | .361 | .344 |
| Lane Thomas CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .118 | .250 | .176 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .214 | .333 | .357 |
| Kyle Isbel CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .444 | .444 | .704 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha SP· | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 102-62 | 0.69 | 102 |
| Matt Strahm RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24-12 | 5.79 | 24 |
| Lucas Erceg RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-8 | 3.86 | 14 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .244 | .326 | .366 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .286 | .333 | .714 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | .146 | .239 | .268 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .063 | .211 | .063 |
| David Fry RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .300 | .364 | .400 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .200 | .385 | .300 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .138 | .219 | .138 |
| CJ Kayfus LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .167 | .286 | .389 |
| Gabriel Arias SS· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .200 | .250 | .433 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .185 | .185 | .333 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .200 | .351 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee SP· | 4.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 87-58 | 3.29 | 87 |
| Tim Herrin RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-4 | 0.00 | 5 |
| Peyton Pallette RP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 30-22 | 2.70 | 30 |
| Kolby Allard RP | 2.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 35-24 | 5.79 | 35 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningPerez struck out looking.
- 5th InningWitt Jr. reached on infield single to first, Garcia to third.
- 4th InningPasquantino walked.
- 2nd InningNaylor struck out looking.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningRocchio homered to left center (377 feet).4–2
- 8th InningIndia homered to left center (380 feet), Jensen scored.4–1
- 4th InningIndia singled to right, Pasquantino scored, Jensen to third.1–1
- 6th InningJensen homered to right (359 feet).2–1
- 3rd InningKwan homered to right (381 feet).0–1