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InTheRafters.com

MIL @ BOS

Joshua Silvia
13–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET39°F · 6 mph wind · clear⚾ Brandon Woodruff vs Brayan BelloMLB.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 8 · Boston Red Sox 6

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers’s scoring margin profile and Milwaukee Brewers’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 91%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMitchell reached on infield single to pitcher, Turang scored, Yelich to second, Contreras to third.4th Inning3–3
  2. ScoreFrelick scored, Contreras safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Durbin, Turang to second, Hamilton to third.4th Inning1–3
  3. ScoreContreras hit a ground rule double, Rafaela scored, Yoshida to third.4th Inning4–5
  4. 💣 Home RunMitchell singled to left, Turang scored. Yelich scored, Mitchell to third on throwing error by left fielder Anthony.8th Inning7–5
  5. ScoreRafaela singled to center, Durbin scored.4th Inning4–4
  6. ScoreBauers walked, Contreras scored, Mitchell to second, Yelich to third.4th Inning4–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers0004100218110
Boston Red Sox1022000016112

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·0-4420102022.270.413.514
William Contreras C·1-4411101124.294.429.500
Christian Yelich LF·3-4413101129.395.439.579
Garrett Mitchell CF·2-5502200322.333.419.556
Jake Bauers 1B·0-4400101117.206.270.412
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-5511000225.214.267.357
Sal Frelick RF·2-4412101121.233.378.367
David Hamilton 3B·1-2221002014.263.500.263
Blake Perkins LF·1-4401000217.143.217.238

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Woodruff SP·5.285524094-585.9194
Aaron Ashby RP1.110010023-123.1223
Grant Anderson RP1.000000015-92.7015
Angel Zerpa RP1.021100116-111.5916

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Roman Anthony LF·2-5522000020.256.326.410
Masataka Yoshida LF·1-3311002021.250.500.375
Willson Contreras 1B·3-3313211019.235.409.441
Wilyer Abreu RF·1-5501100213.400.415.775
Trevor Story SS·1-4401200011.130.128.217
Marcelo Mayer 2B·0-3300000011.185.233.407
Andruw Monasterio SS0-110000003.125.125.250
Caleb Durbin 3B·2-4412000014.125.176.156
Carlos Narvaez C·0-4400000123.273.304.273
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·1-4411100113.276.300.379

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brayan Bello SP·3.154345086-509.0086
Danny Coulombe RP0.220010023-132.7023
Jovani Moran RP3.011114045-292.5745
Garrett Whitlock RP1.012122027-122.2527
Ryan Watson RP1.021100010-74.5010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningRengifo grounded into double play, second to first, Bauers out at second.
  2. 3rd InningYelich singled to right, Contreras to second.
  3. 6th InningNarváez struck out swinging.
  4. 4th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  5. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  6. 6th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningMitchell reached on infield single to pitcher, Turang scored, Yelich to second, Contreras to third.3–3
  2. 4th InningFrelick scored, Contreras safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Durbin, Turang to second, Hamilton to third.1–3
  3. 4th InningContreras hit a ground rule double, Rafaela scored, Yoshida to third.4–5
  4. 8th InningMitchell singled to left, Turang scored. Yelich scored, Mitchell to third on throwing error by left fielder Anthony.7–5
  5. 4th InningRafaela singled to center, Durbin scored.4–4
  6. 4th InningBauers walked, Contreras scored, Mitchell to second, Yelich to third.4–3
  7. 4th InningYelich reached on infield single to third, Hamilton scored, Contreras to second, Turang to third.2–3
  8. 9th InningContreras homered to left (362 feet).8–6
  9. 5th InningTurang grounded into fielder's choice to first, Hamilton scored, Perkins out at second.5–5
  10. 1st InningStory singled to right, Anthony scored, Contreras to third.0–1
  11. 9th InningFrelick singled to center, Rengifo scored.8–5
  12. 3rd InningStory hit sacrifice fly to center, Yoshida scored.0–3
  13. 3rd InningAbreu grounded into fielder's choice to second, Anthony scored, Contreras out at second, Yoshida to third.0–2

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