ATH @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Aaron Civale vs Cam SchlittlerMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees
Athletics 3 · New York Yankees 5
Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to New York Yankees on the back of New York Yankees’s margin work and New York Yankees’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 81%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 81%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleSoderstrom doubled, Kurtz scored.3–1
- 🏃 DoubleKurtz doubled to center, McNeil scored and Muncy scored.2–1
- ScoreStanton singled to center, Bellinger scored, Rice to second.3–2
- ScoreRosario homered to left (414 feet), Rice scored and Grichuk scored.3–5
- ScoreRosario homered to left (399 feet).0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| New York Yankees | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | — | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .156 | .341 | .219 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .275 | .326 | .650 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .243 | .333 | .378 |
| Brent Rooker RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .162 | .256 | .324 |
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .214 | .214 | .286 |
| Lawrence Butler RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .185 | .267 | .333 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .308 | .325 | .538 |
| Andy Ibanez 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .300 | .222 |
| Jeff McNeil 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .231 | .333 | .231 |
| Denzel Clarke CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .174 | .240 | .174 |
| Carlos Cortes RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .444 | .545 | .667 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale SP· | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 88-52 | 2.70 | 88 |
| Justin Sterner RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27-20 | 1.50 | 27 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. RP | 0.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28-17 | 10.38 | 28 |
| Joel Kuhnel RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-2 | 0.00 | 5 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham CF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .147 | .326 | .235 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .237 | .326 | .500 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .265 | .409 | .441 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .379 | .550 | .828 |
| Giancarlo Stanton DH· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .378 | .410 | .514 |
| Randal Grichuk LF | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .200 | .238 | .275 |
| Amed Rosario 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .300 | .273 | .900 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .087 | .276 | .087 |
| Austin Wells C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | .185 | .313 | .222 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .171 | .237 | .200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 84-58 | 1.62 | 84 |
| Jake Bird RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-8 | 5.40 | 10 |
| Brent Headrick RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22-11 | 0.00 | 22 |
| Fernando Cruz RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20-10 | 1.93 | 20 |
| David Bednar RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 3.38 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningMcNeil struck out swinging.
- 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningGrisham grounded out to second.
- 8th InningButler walked.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningSoderstrom doubled, Kurtz scored.3–1
- 3rd InningKurtz doubled to center, McNeil scored and Muncy scored.2–1
- 8th InningStanton singled to center, Bellinger scored, Rice to second.3–2
- 8th InningRosario homered to left (414 feet), Rice scored and Grichuk scored.3–5
- 2nd InningRosario homered to left (399 feet).0–1