MIL @ BOS
Fenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET⚾ Jacob Misiorowski vs Garrett CrochetMLB.TVBrewers.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers 2 · Boston Red Sox 3
Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Boston Red Sox on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 1.
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Milwaukee Brewers
- Jacob Misiorowski SP · #32
- Kyle Harrison SP · #52
- Aaron Ashby RP · #26
- DL Hall RP · #37
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox
Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
Milwaukee Brewers
J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreYelich grounded into fielder's choice to third, Frelick scored, Hamilton out at second, Perkins to third.2–3
- ScoreDurbin grounded out to second, Abreu scored, Story to third.0–3
- 🏃 DoubleStory doubled to left, Duran and Contreras scored, Abreu to third.0–2
- ScoreHamilton hit by pitch, Ortiz scored, Perkins to second, Frelick to third.1–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Milwaukee Brewers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lockridge LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .308 | .379 | .346 |
| Christian Yelich LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .385 | .429 | .564 |
| William Contreras C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .289 | .413 | .474 |
| Luis Rengifo 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .188 | .235 | .313 |
| Gary Sanchez C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .313 | .450 | .875 |
| Joey Ortiz SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .267 | .313 | .267 |
| Luis Matos RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .125 | .222 | .125 |
| Sal Frelick RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .242 | .390 | .364 |
| Blake Perkins LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .167 | .259 | .250 |
| David Hamilton 3B· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .250 | .500 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski SP· | 5.1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 101-56 | 3.31 | 101 |
| DL Hall RP | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 39-25 | 0.00 | 39 |
| Jake Woodford RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 2.70 | 3 |
Boston Red Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Anthony LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | .233 | .298 | .372 |
| Jarren Duran LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .182 | .308 | .242 |
| Willson Contreras 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .250 | .438 | .444 |
| Wilyer Abreu RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .372 | .400 | .721 |
| Trevor Story SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .140 | .137 | .240 |
| Marcelo Mayer 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .172 | .219 | .379 |
| Caleb Durbin 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .121 | .171 | .152 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela CF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .290 | .333 | .387 |
| Connor Wong C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .417 | .462 | .667 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | .125 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet SP· | 6.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 107-65 | 3.12 | 107 |
| Zack Kelly RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-7 | 3.38 | 11 |
| Garrett Whitlock RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-10 | 1.80 | 15 |
| Aroldis Chapman RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-2 | 1.80 | 6 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningContreras struck out swinging.
- 7th InningYelich grounded into fielder's choice to third, Frelick scored, Hamilton out at second, Perkins to third.2–3
- 7th InningOrtiz singled to center.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningYelich grounded into fielder's choice to third, Frelick scored, Hamilton out at second, Perkins to third.2–3
- 6th InningDurbin grounded out to second, Abreu scored, Story to third.0–3
- 6th InningStory doubled to left, Duran and Contreras scored, Abreu to third.0–2
- 7th InningHamilton hit by pitch, Ortiz scored, Perkins to second, Frelick to third.1–3