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In The Rafters

ATH @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET⚾ Jeffrey Springs vs Ryan WeathersMLB.TV
Result readAthletics

Athletics 1 · New York Yankees 0

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Athletics gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with New York Yankees’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 81%. Actual: Athletics by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Athletics
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSoderstrom singled to right, Muncy scored.7th Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics000000100181
New York Yankees000000000010

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jacob Wilson SS·1-4401000015.196.196.255
Nick Kurtz 1B·2-4402000215.220.360.268
Brent Rooker RF·0-110000012.146.245.293
Lawrence Butler RF1-3301000113.212.297.333
Andy Ibanez 2B·0-330000005.167.231.167
Jeff McNeil 2B0-110000002.258.343.290
Max Muncy 3B·2-4412000122.319.333.574
Tyler Soderstrom LF·1-4401100215.217.294.326
Austin Wynns C·0-3300000113.111.111.111
Darell Hernaiz 3B·1-3301000010.250.250.250
Denzel Clarke CF·0-330000008.148.207.148

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jeffrey Springs SP·7.010026093-601.4793
Justin Sterner RP1.000011021-141.2921
Hogan Harris RP1.000001014-103.0014

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Amed Rosario 3B·0-2200002017.250.316.625
Aaron Judge RF·0-4400000119.222.314.444
Cody Bellinger LF·0-4400000018.238.365.381
Giancarlo Stanton DH·0-2200001013.326.370.442
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B0-110000001.186.255.256
Ben Rice 1B·1-4401000112.324.479.676
Randal Grichuk LF·0-3300000319.000.000.000
Paul Blackburn RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Austin Wells C·0-3300000111.167.286.200
Jose Caballero SS·0-220000007.162.225.189
Trent Grisham CF0-110000013.162.354.243
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-330000018.069.250.069

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Weathers SP·8.0711070101-732.81101
Paul Blackburn RP1.010001019-132.2519

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningBellinger fouled out to catcher.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 5th InningGrichuk struck out swinging.
  5. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
  6. 9th InningMuncy doubled to left.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningSoderstrom singled to right, Muncy scored.1–0

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