CLE @ ATL
Truist Park · Atlanta, Georgia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET⚾ Slade Cecconi vs Bryce ElderMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVBravesVision
Result readAtlanta Braves
Cleveland Guardians 5 · Atlanta Braves 11
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeTruist ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Atlanta Braves is the model’s call — Atlanta Braves on the margin numbers, Atlanta Braves on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 79%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 6.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 79%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreHoskins singled to left, DeLauter scored.3–9
- ScoreMartínez singled to short left, Brito scored and Hoskins scored, Fry to third.5–9
- ScoreAlbies singled to center, Olson scored, Yastrzemski to third.2–8
- ScoreAcuña Jr. singled to center, Smith scored, Harris II to third.0–1
- ScoreAcuña Jr. homered to left (411 feet).2–2
- ScoreOlson homered to right (441 feet), Baldwin scored.2–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | 11 | 15 | 1 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .264 | .350 | .358 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .273 | .340 | .659 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .151 | .250 | .264 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .103 | .222 | .179 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .258 | .378 | .419 |
| Juan Brito 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .417 | .417 | .583 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .125 | .222 | .125 |
| David Fry RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .214 | .389 | .286 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .333 | .421 | .485 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .200 | .347 | .300 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi SP· | 5.1 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 85-50 | 5.74 | 85 |
| Matt Festa RP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17-13 | 8.10 | 17 |
| Peyton Pallette RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 37-20 | 4.70 | 37 |
| Kolby Allard RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-15 | 7.94 | 18 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .222 | .317 | .333 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .328 | .391 | .621 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .278 | .371 | .611 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .224 | .333 | .265 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .190 | .306 | .286 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .273 | .317 | .436 |
| Dominic Smith 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .357 | .400 | .571 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .235 | .264 | .373 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .347 | .373 | .571 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder SP· | 4.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 76-43 | 1.02 | 76 |
| Aaron Bummer RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-4 | 0.00 | 6 |
| Tyler Kinley RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-9 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Dylan Lee RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-7 | 1.35 | 7 |
| Jose Suarez RP | 0.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31-18 | 9.95 | 31 |
| Joel Payamps RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 3.00 | 3 |
| Osvaldo Bido RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14-7 | 1.29 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningHoskins singled to left, DeLauter scored.3–9
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningOlson walked.
- 5th InningRocchio walked.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningHoskins singled to left, DeLauter scored.3–9
- 8th InningMartínez singled to short left, Brito scored and Hoskins scored, Fry to third.5–9
- 7th InningAlbies singled to center, Olson scored, Yastrzemski to third.2–8
- 3rd InningAcuña Jr. singled to center, Smith scored, Harris II to third.0–1
- 6th InningAcuña Jr. homered to left (411 feet).2–2
- 6th InningOlson homered to right (441 feet), Baldwin scored.2–4
- 8th InningRiley singled to left, Baldwin scored, Riley safe at second on throwing error by left fielder Martínez.5–11
- 8th InningBaldwin doubled to right, Dubón scored.5–10
- 7th InningSmith singled to left, Yastrzemski scored, Albies to second.2–9
- 5th InningKwan singled to left, Martínez scored on fielding error by left fielder Yastrzemski, Kwan to second, Rocchio safe at third.2–1
- 6th InningHarris II homered to right center (425 feet), Smith scored.2–7
- 6th InningSmith singled to right, Riley scored.2–5
- 4th InningManzardo homered to center (454 feet).1–1