LAA @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET60°F · 8 mph wind · overcast⚾ Jack Kochanowicz vs Chase BurnsApple TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels 10 · Cincinnati Reds 2
Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Angels gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Angels’s margin advantage, with Los Angeles Angels’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Angels at 63%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 8.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Angels at 63%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 8.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Injury Report
Cincinnati Reds
Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreTrout walked, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second, Frazier to third.6–1
- ScoreSoler homered to left center (418 feet), Frazier scored, Neto scored and Trout scored.10–1
- ScoreNeto homered to center (417 feet), Frazier scored.4–0
- ScoreFrazier walked, Moncada scored, O'Hoppe to second, Lowe to third.1–0
- ScoreMoncada reached on infield single to shortstop, Soler scored.2–0
- ScoreLowe homered to right (356 feet).5–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .246 | .338 | .544 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .174 | .367 | .326 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .143 | .143 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .200 | .268 | .360 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | .240 | .339 | .520 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .132 | .327 | .263 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .216 | .275 | .351 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .291 | .316 | .345 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .132 | .233 | .316 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .222 | .341 | .222 |
| Adam Frazier 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .308 | .500 | .385 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kochanowicz SP· | 7.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 95-53 | 3.24 | 95 |
| Mitch Farris RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 37-24 | 3.00 | 37 |
Cincinnati Reds
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .154 | .267 | .154 |
| Matt McLain 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .218 | .328 | .273 |
| Elly De La Cruz SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .236 | .323 | .473 |
| Sal Stewart 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .340 | .458 | .681 |
| Nathaniel Lowe 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .267 | .286 |
| Eugenio Suarez 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .231 | .286 | .365 |
| Spencer Steer LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .182 | .213 | .318 |
| Will Benson RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .179 | .258 | .286 |
| Noelvi Marte RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .143 | .217 | .143 |
| Tyler Stephenson C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .182 | .270 | .364 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .088 | .162 | .088 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns SP· | 5.1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 92-57 | 3.31 | 92 |
| Connor Phillips RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24-13 | 3.12 | 24 |
| Sam Moll RP | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16-5 | 2.57 | 16 |
| Kyle Nicolas RP | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29-13 | 40.50 | 29 |
| P.J. Higgins C | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-7 | 0.00 | 10 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningBenson walked.
- 9th InningStephenson singled to left.
- 9th InningLowe struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningTrout walked, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second, Frazier to third.6–1
- 8th InningSoler homered to left center (418 feet), Frazier scored, Neto scored and Trout scored.10–1
- 4th InningNeto homered to center (417 feet), Frazier scored.4–0
- 2nd InningFrazier walked, Moncada scored, O'Hoppe to second, Lowe to third.1–0
- 3rd InningMoncada reached on infield single to shortstop, Soler scored.2–0
- 6th InningLowe homered to right (356 feet).5–1
- 5th InningFriedl grounded out to first, Benson scored, Hayes to second, Stephenson to third.4–1
- 8th InningDe La Cruz homered to right center (384 feet).10–2