NYY @ TB
Tropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:10 PM ET⚾ Luis Gil vs Steven MatzMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 5
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Tampa Bay Rays on the back of New York Yankees’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 72%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 2.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 72%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBellinger hit sacrifice fly to right, Judge scored.1–0
- ScoreRice homered to center (411 feet).3–5
- 🏃 TripleRosario tripled to left, Stanton scored.2–0
- ScoreAranda grounded out to second, Walls scored, Caminero to second, Simpson to third.2–5
- ScoreSimpson grounded into fielder's choice to second, Walls scored, Fortes out at second.2–3
- ScoreDíaz homered to right center (377 feet), Aranda scored.2–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 9 | 1 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .200 | .385 | .600 |
| Ben Rice 1B | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .342 | .490 | .763 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .224 | .309 | .429 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .222 | .339 | .356 |
| Giancarlo Stanton DH· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .326 | .380 | .435 |
| Amed Rosario 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .300 | .348 | .700 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .170 | .235 | .234 |
| Randal Grichuk LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .150 | .209 | .175 |
| Trent Grisham CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .158 | .347 | .237 |
| Austin Wells C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .152 | .263 | .182 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil SP· | 4.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 88-50 | 6.75 | 88 |
| Jake Bird RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-14 | 4.50 | 20 |
| Brent Headrick RP | 0.1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-14 | 1.23 | 16 |
| Camilo Doval RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-5 | 7.20 | 8 |
| Ryan Yarbrough RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28-16 | 0.00 | 28 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .373 | .407 | .412 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .220 | .339 | .360 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .250 | .328 | .481 |
| Yandy Diaz 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .373 | .458 | .608 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .136 | .188 | .227 |
| Jonny DeLuca RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .240 | .269 | .400 |
| Ben Williamson 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | .250 | .318 | .300 |
| Taylor Walls SS· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .167 | .231 | .250 |
| Nick Fortes C· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .324 | .359 | .486 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz SP· | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 88-57 | 3.94 | 88 |
| Griffin Jax RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-7 | 9.00 | 13 |
| Ian Seymour RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-12 | 10.80 | 17 |
| Hunter Bigge RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14-8 | 2.70 | 14 |
| Bryan Baker RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-12 | 1.80 | 16 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningWilliamson doubled to left.
- 2nd InningWalls hit by pitch.
- 8th InningCaminero walked.
- 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 1st InningMullins walked.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningBellinger hit sacrifice fly to right, Judge scored.1–0
- 8th InningRice homered to center (411 feet).3–5
- 1st InningRosario tripled to left, Stanton scored.2–0
- 6th InningAranda grounded out to second, Walls scored, Caminero to second, Simpson to third.2–5
- 2nd InningSimpson grounded into fielder's choice to second, Walls scored, Fortes out at second.2–3
- 1st InningDíaz homered to right center (377 feet), Aranda scored.2–2
- 6th InningSimpson singled to center, Williamson scored, Walls to second.2–4