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In The Rafters

BOS @ STL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:15 PM CT64°F · 8 mph wind · overcast⚾ Ranger Suarez vs Kyle LeahyMLB.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox 7 · St. Louis Cardinals 1

Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Boston Red Sox gets the model’s nod thanks to St. Louis Cardinals’s margin advantage, with St. Louis Cardinals’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 60%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

St. Louis Cardinals

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75
St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreDuran singled to center, Anthony scored, Durbin to second.9th Inning6–1
  2. ScoreContreras singled to left, Durbin scored, Duran to second.9th Inning7–1
  3. ScoreDurbin singled to left, Narváez scored and Rafaela scored, Anthony to second.9th Inning5–1
  4. 🏃 DoubleContreras doubled to left, Duran scored and Anthony scored.4th Inning2–0
  5. ScoreRafaela singled to center, Story scored, Narváez to second.9th Inning3–1
  6. ScoreWalker homered to center (429 feet).8th Inning2–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Boston Red Sox0002000057101
St. Louis Cardinals000000010150

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Roman Anthony LF·1-4421001221.220.316.340
Caleb Durbin 3B·1-5511200014.114.188.136
Jarren Duran LF·2-5512100022.190.292.238
Willson Contreras 1B·2-4402300216.250.419.417
Wilyer Abreu RF·0-4400001023.364.397.636
Trevor Story SS·0-4410001117.131.141.213
Marcelo Mayer 2B·1-2201002022.200.275.371
Carlos Narvaez C·2-4412000017.242.265.242
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·1-3311100113.325.386.425

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ranger Suarez SP·6.030026084-555.0284
Greg Weissert RP0.200010016-106.1416
Danny Coulombe RP0.10000005-32.455
Garrett Whitlock RP1.011102112-93.0012
Ryan Watson RP1.010000013-83.3813

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-4401000013.231.359.308
Ivan Herrera C·0-4400000118.184.369.245
Jordan Walker RF·1-3311111215.314.386.706
Nolan Gorman 3B·0-3300001220.220.327.366
Ramon Urias 3B·1-4401000113.259.333.593
Jose Fermin LF·1-3301000111.250.222.250
Thomas Saggese LF·1-220100005.273.351.333
Alec Burleson 1B0-1100001010.240.371.340
Pedro Pages C·0-220000004.179.258.321
Nathan Church LF0-110000005.152.200.242
Victor Scott II CF·0-220000018.263.275.289
Yohel Pozo C0-220000008.091.091.091

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Leahy SP·4.032232071-415.1471
Gordon Graceffo RP2.110012032-171.2932
Justin Bruihl RP1.000001011-74.9111
Matt Svanson RP1.065511043-2615.5843
Jared Shuster RP0.20000008-50.008

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningBurleson walked, Fermín to second.
  2. 9th InningDuran singled to center, Anthony scored, Durbin to second.6–1
  3. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  4. 4th InningMayer walked, Abreu to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningDuran singled to center, Anthony scored, Durbin to second.6–1
  2. 9th InningContreras singled to left, Durbin scored, Duran to second.7–1
  3. 9th InningDurbin singled to left, Narváez scored and Rafaela scored, Anthony to second.5–1
  4. 4th InningContreras doubled to left, Duran scored and Anthony scored.2–0
  5. 9th InningRafaela singled to center, Story scored, Narváez to second.3–1
  6. 8th InningWalker homered to center (429 feet).2–1

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