LAA @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor4:10 PM ET⚾ George Klassen vs Brandon WilliamsonMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels 3 · Cincinnati Reds 7
Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Cincinnati Reds on the back of Los Angeles Angels’s margin work and Los Angeles Angels’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Angels at 74%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 4.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Angels at 74%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Injury Report
Cincinnati Reds
Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreDe La Cruz walked, Friedl scored on Silseth wild pitch, McLain to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–7
- ScoreMarte scored on Silseth wild pitch, Friedl to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–6
- ScoreSteer scored on error, Stewart safe at first on fielding error by first baseman Schanuel, De La Cruz safe at third on error.0–1
- ScoreMarte scored on Silseth wild pitch, Friedl to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–6
- ScoreSchanuel grounded out to shortstop, Neto scored, Adell to second, Trout to third.1–5
- ScoreSteer homered to left (383 feet).0–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | — | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .262 | .357 | .557 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .184 | .385 | .347 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .288 | .323 | .339 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .222 | .328 | .481 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .208 | .283 | .358 |
| Vaughn Grissom 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .205 | .333 | .205 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .125 | .340 | .250 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .111 | .111 | .111 |
| Adam Frazier 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .267 | .450 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Klassen SP· | 2.0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 72-34 | 11.57 | 72 |
| Brent Suter RP | 3.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 39-28 | 2.08 | 39 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 43-28 | 5.40 | 43 |
| Chase Silseth RP | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25-10 | 3.38 | 25 |
Cincinnati Reds
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .161 | .277 | .161 |
| Spencer Steer LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .191 | .235 | .383 |
| Matt McLain 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .218 | .338 | .273 |
| Elly De La Cruz SS· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .271 | .358 | .525 |
| Sal Stewart 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .320 | .453 | .640 |
| Eugenio Suarez 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .232 | .295 | .357 |
| Nathaniel Lowe 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .222 | .263 | .333 |
| Dane Myers CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .263 | .300 | .263 |
| Tyler Stephenson C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | .171 | .293 | .343 |
| Noelvi Marte RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .160 | .222 | .160 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .079 | .146 | .079 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson SP· | 4.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 93-49 | 5.28 | 93 |
| Connor Phillips RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20-10 | 2.89 | 20 |
| Pierce Johnson RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19-12 | 4.26 | 19 |
| Graham Ashcraft RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-6 | 2.25 | 11 |
| Tony Santillan RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 0.00 | 11 |
| Emilio Pagan RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14-7 | 5.40 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningMcLain walked.
- 8th InningFriedl walked.
- 8th InningO'Hoppe struck out swinging.
- 8th InningDe La Cruz walked, Friedl scored on Silseth wild pitch, McLain to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–7
- 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
- 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningDe La Cruz walked, Friedl scored on Silseth wild pitch, McLain to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–7
- 8th InningMarte scored on Silseth wild pitch, Friedl to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–6
- 1st InningSteer scored on error, Stewart safe at first on fielding error by first baseman Schanuel, De La Cruz safe at third on error.0–1
- 8th InningMarte scored on Silseth wild pitch, Friedl to third on wild pitch by Silseth.3–6
- 3rd InningSchanuel grounded out to shortstop, Neto scored, Adell to second, Trout to third.1–5
- 2nd InningSteer homered to left (383 feet).0–5
- 1st InningLowe doubled to right, De La Cruz scored, Suárez scored and Stewart scored.0–4
- 4th InningTrout doubled to left, Neto scored and Moncada scored.3–5