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InTheRafters.com

NYY @ TB

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:10 PM ET⚾ Max Fried vs Nick MartinezMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees 4 · Tampa Bay Rays 5

Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Tampa Bay Rays is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 72%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays

Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28
Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreWalls reached on bunt single to pitcher, Mullins scored, Simpson to third.10th Inning4–4
  2. ScoreAranda hit sacrifice fly to left, Walls scored.6th Inning1–2
  3. ScoreCaballero singled to center, Grichuk scored.10th Inning4–3
  4. 🏃 DoubleCaballero doubled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Grichuk scored.8th Inning3–2
  5. ScoreWells homered to right (396 feet).2nd Inning1–0
  6. ScoreAranda grounded into fielder's choice to second, Simpson scored, Díaz safe at second on fielding error by second baseman Chisholm Jr., Walls to third.10th Inning4–5

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
New York Yankees0100000201481
Tampa Bay Rays0100010102590

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-3300002018.146.352.220
Aaron Judge RF·0-3300002129.212.317.404
Cody Bellinger LF·2-5502000121.240.344.360
Ben Rice 1B·1-3301002116.341.500.756
Giancarlo Stanton DH·0-3300001119.306.370.408
Randal Grichuk LF0-112000001.000.000.000
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-5511000112.173.232.250
Austin Wells C·1-5511110115.158.256.263
Jose Caballero SS·2-5502300218.178.229.222
Ryan McMahon 3B·1-220100006.097.263.097
Amed Rosario 3B0-330000019.261.308.609

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Fried SP·8.063306094-661.9394
Fernando Cruz RP0.210001012-91.6912
Tim Hill RP0.10000001-10.001
David Bednar RP0.122111013-105.4013

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-4401101114.364.453.582
Ryan Vilade RF·1-4401000015.143.200.143
Hunter Feduccia C0-110000015.231.375.231
Jonathan Aranda 1B·0-4400200112.232.303.446
Junior Caminero 3B·1-4411000115.222.333.370
Ben Williamson 2B·0-4400000114.227.292.273
Jonny DeLuca RF·2-4402100113.276.300.414
Cedric Mullins CF·0-4410000111.125.173.208
Nick Fortes C·1-330100009.325.357.500
Chandler Simpson LF1-112100002.385.418.423
Taylor Walls SS·2-3312100110.267.313.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nick Martinez SP·4.251134187-562.1687
Kevin Kelly RP0.10000104-311.254
Ian Seymour RP1.200003021-168.1021
Griffin Jax RP0.10001108-48.448
Bryan Baker RP1.022210020-124.5020
Hunter Bigge RP1.000020013-72.0813
Cole Sulser RP1.011000011-64.1511

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningBellinger popped out to shortstop.
  2. 3rd InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
  3. 8th InningStanton walked.
  4. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball 2
  5. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  6. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 1st InningRice struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningWalls reached on bunt single to pitcher, Mullins scored, Simpson to third.4–4
  2. 6th InningAranda hit sacrifice fly to left, Walls scored.1–2
  3. 10th InningCaballero singled to center, Grichuk scored.4–3
  4. 8th InningCaballero doubled to left, Chisholm Jr. scored and Grichuk scored.3–2
  5. 2nd InningWells homered to right (396 feet).1–0
  6. 10th InningAranda grounded into fielder's choice to second, Simpson scored, Díaz safe at second on fielding error by second baseman Chisholm Jr., Walls to third.4–5
  7. 2nd InningDeLuca singled to right, Caminero scored.1–1
  8. 8th InningDíaz reached on infield single to first, Simpson scored.3–3

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