Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

NYY @ TB

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:40 PM ET⚾ Cam Schlittler vs Drew RasmussenESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees 4 · Tampa Bay Rays 5

Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Tampa Bay Rays: New York Yankees’s scoring margin profile and Tampa Bay Rays’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 72%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays

Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28
Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJudge homered to right center (415 feet), Rice scored.9th Inning4–5
  2. ScoreStanton grounded out to second, Judge scored, Bellinger to third.7th Inning2–3
  3. ScoreCaminero hit sacrifice fly to left, Simpson scored.7th Inning2–4
  4. ScoreWalls hit sacrifice bunt, Fraley scored, Williamson to second.8th Inning2–5
  5. ScoreBellinger singled to center, Rice scored, Judge to second.7th Inning1–3
  6. ScoreSimpson singled to left, Walls scored.2nd Inning0–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Yankees000000202470
Tampa Bay Rays12000011—5110

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-440000019.133.328.200
Ben Rice 1B·2-4422000218.356.500.756
Aaron Judge RF·1-3321211126.218.328.455
Cody Bellinger LF·1-4401100111.241.338.352
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-440100007.179.233.268
Randal Grichuk LF·0-220000019.000.000.000
Giancarlo Stanton DH0-110010003.300.364.400
Amed Rosario 3B1-110100002.292.333.667
J.C. Escarra C·0-220000008.000.083.000
Austin Wells C0-110000104.154.267.256
Ryan McMahon 3B·1-4401000120.114.262.114
Jose Caballero SS·0-3300000113.167.216.208

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cam Schlittler SP·5.073318085-612.4985
Ryan Yarbrough RP1.021101020-141.5920
Camilo Doval RP1.000000011-76.0011
Brent Headrick RP1.02110009-52.169

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson LF·3-4423100010.411.441.482
Junior Caminero 3B·2-3302100116.246.343.386
Jonathan Aranda 1B·0-4400000313.217.286.417
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-3301101016.362.456.569
Jake Fraley RF·1-4411000215.219.306.313
Cedric Mullins CF·1-3311000014.137.182.255
Richie Palacios 2B·0-3300100114.211.400.368
Ben Williamson 2B1-110100002.244.306.289
Taylor Walls SS·2-3312100111.333.368.389
Hunter Feduccia C·0-220000019.200.333.200
Nick Fortes C0-220000005.310.341.476

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Drew Rasmussen SP·6.010007076-511.1376
Cole Sulser RP0.122210015-76.0015
Kevin Kelly RP1.210000018-127.9418
Mason Englert RP1.032211121-1510.5721

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningMcMahon singled to right.
  2. 9th InningJudge homered to right center (415 feet), Rice scored.4–5
  3. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  4. 4th InningJudge struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningJudge homered to right center (415 feet), Rice scored.4–5
  2. 7th InningStanton grounded out to second, Judge scored, Bellinger to third.2–3
  3. 7th InningCaminero hit sacrifice fly to left, Simpson scored.2–4
  4. 8th InningWalls hit sacrifice bunt, Fraley scored, Williamson to second.2–5
  5. 7th InningBellinger singled to center, Rice scored, Judge to second.1–3
  6. 2nd InningSimpson singled to left, Walls scored.0–3
  7. 2nd InningPalacios grounded out to shortstop, Mullins scored.0–2
  8. 1st InningDíaz grounded out to second, Simpson scored, Caminero to second.0–1

Trending