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In The Rafters

WSH @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Zack Littell vs Brandon WoodruffMLB.TVBrewers.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 8 · Milwaukee Brewers 6

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Washington Nationals: Milwaukee Brewers’s scoring margin profile and Milwaukee Brewers’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 82%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreHouse singled to right, Mead scored.7th Inning6–3
  2. ScoreMead singled to center, Tena scored, Wood to third.7th Inning4–3
  3. ScoreTena singled to right, Young scored.7th Inning3–3
  4. ScoreWood homered to right (393 feet).4th Inning1–1
  5. ScoreRuiz singled to center, Abrams scored and Young scored, Ruiz to second.8th Inning8–6
  6. ScoreWood stole home, Mead stole second.7th Inning5–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals0002004208120
Milwaukee Brewers001110300692

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-3321112118.274.392.613
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-3310000014.271.286.438
Curtis Mead 1B1-221110008.280.379.480
Brady House 3B·1-5501100218.250.311.411
Daylen Lile LF·2-5502000014.273.314.333
CJ Abrams SS·2-4412100111.321.403.566
Jacob Young CF·2-5522000012.293.326.463
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-3301000013.333.433.333
Drew Millas C·0-220000016.136.269.136
Jose Tena 2B1-111110005.273.304.273
Keibert Ruiz C1-110120003.222.241.407
Nasim Nunez 2B·0-4400000214.222.300.244

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Zack Littell SP·5.063303371-504.2071
Ken Waldichuk RP1.211111025-146.7525
Cole Henry RP0.012210112-46.4312
PJ Poulin RP1.110000016-114.0016
Gus Varland RP1.00000108-75.408

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·3-4433221019.298.441.617
William Contreras C·1-4411001116.280.390.480
Christian Yelich LF·0-220000006.314.375.451
Gary Sanchez C1-221131005.273.429.818
Garrett Mitchell CF·1-4401000216.278.409.444
Jake Bauers 1B·2-4412110019.239.300.522
Sal Frelick RF·0-440000007.188.304.292
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-4401000116.263.333.289
David Hamilton 3B·0-3300000012.200.400.200
Luis Rengifo 3B0-110000002.136.191.227
Joey Ortiz SS·0-4400000114.220.256.220

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Woodruff SP·6.032116170-504.3270
Abner Uribe RP0.222200018-125.0618
Angel Zerpa RP0.244410021-136.7521
Aaron Ashby RP0.210001011-83.5511
Jake Woodford RP1.020000016-103.6816

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningWood walked.
  2. 6th InningBauers singled to center.
  3. 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4
  4. 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  5. 1st InningTurang singled to center.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningHouse singled to right, Mead scored.6–3
  2. 7th InningMead singled to center, Tena scored, Wood to third.4–3
  3. 7th InningTena singled to right, Young scored.3–3
  4. 4th InningWood homered to right (393 feet).1–1
  5. 8th InningRuiz singled to center, Abrams scored and Young scored, Ruiz to second.8–6
  6. 7th InningWood stole home, Mead stole second.5–3
  7. 7th InningSánchez homered to left center (400 feet), Turang scored and Contreras scored.6–6
  8. 7th InningWood stole home, Mead stole second.5–3
  9. 4th InningAbrams hit sacrifice fly to left, García Jr. scored, Lile to third.2–1
  10. 5th InningTurang homered to center (433 feet).2–3
  11. 3rd InningTurang homered to left center (378 feet).0–1
  12. 4th InningBauers homered to right (391 feet).2–2

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