CLE @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM CT71°F · 12 mph wind · overcast⚾ Gavin Williams vs Matthew LiberatoreMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVCardinals.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 9 · St. Louis Cardinals 3
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Cleveland Guardians on the back of St. Louis Cardinals’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 6.
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBurleson singled to right, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to second.1–1
- ScoreSchneemann singled to right, Hoskins scored and Ramírez scored, Fry to third.3–1
- ScoreMartínez homered to left (398 feet).1–0
- ScoreKwan singled to left, Brito scored and Rocchio scored.9–2
- 💣 Home RunRocchio reached on infield single to pitcher, Fry scored. Rocchio to second, Brito safe at third on throwing error by pitcher Fernandez.7–2
- ScoreRocchio homered to left (402 feet), Hedges scored.6–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .258 | .343 | .339 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .319 | .385 | .511 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .200 | .297 | .354 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .209 | .320 | .395 |
| David Fry RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .208 | .345 | .250 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .256 | .275 | .410 |
| Juan Brito 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .273 | .333 | .364 |
| Austin Hedges C· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .350 | .391 | .450 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .200 | .344 | .340 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 93-62 | 2.38 | 93 |
| Tim Herrin RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24-14 | 0.00 | 24 |
| Erik Sabrowski RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Hunter Gaddis RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-12 | 9.00 | 21 |
| Cade Smith RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18-12 | 5.63 | 18 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .213 | .329 | .279 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .193 | .365 | .246 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .271 | .380 | .424 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .333 | .394 | .767 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .208 | .298 | .333 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .175 | .353 | .250 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .143 | .189 | .229 |
| Jose Fermin LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .231 | .267 | .231 |
| Pedro Pages C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .194 | .257 | .323 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .256 | .267 | .279 |
| Thomas Saggese LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .231 | .302 | .282 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore SP· | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 105-61 | 4.29 | 105 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20-11 | 6.48 | 20 |
| Gordon Graceffo RP | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20-10 | 1.08 | 20 |
| Ryan Fernandez RP | 1.2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 31-25 | 0.00 | 31 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningHoskins walked.
- 8th InningBrito singled to center, Fry to second.
- 5th InningFry lined out to shortstop.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningBurleson singled to right, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to second.1–1
- 4th InningSchneemann singled to right, Hoskins scored and Ramírez scored, Fry to third.3–1
- 1st InningMartínez homered to left (398 feet).1–0
- 8th InningKwan singled to left, Brito scored and Rocchio scored.9–2
- 8th InningRocchio reached on infield single to pitcher, Fry scored. Rocchio to second, Brito safe at third on throwing error by pitcher Fernandez.7–2
- 6th InningRocchio homered to left (402 feet), Hedges scored.6–1
- 8th InningPagés hit sacrifice fly to left, Walker scored.9–3
- 4th InningHedges hit sacrifice fly to left, Fry scored, Schneemann to second.4–1
- 6th InningWalker homered to left center (398 feet).6–2