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InTheRafters.com

NYM @ LAD

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM PT53°F · 4 mph wind · clear⚾ David Peterson vs Justin WrobleskiESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

New York Mets 0 · Los Angeles Dodgers 4

Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Los Angeles Dodgers because Los Angeles Dodgers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Mets has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 76%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL

New York Mets

Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4
Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScorePages homered to left (364 feet), Tucker scored and Freeman scored.3rd Inning0–4
  2. ScoreSmith singled to center, Ohtani scored, Tucker to second.1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Mets000000000030
Los Angeles Dodgers10300000—480

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor SS·0-4400000014.176.291.250
Luis Robert Jr. CF·0-330000007.280.419.400
Mark Vientos 1B·0-3300000114.244.273.366
Bo Bichette 3B·0-330000008.225.273.296
Jorge Polanco 1B·1-3301000010.192.263.308
Francisco Alvarez C·1-3301000012.302.388.605
Tommy Pham LF·0-3300000111.000.000.000
Marcus Semien 2B·1-330100006.197.254.279
Tyrone Taylor RF·0-3300000016.182.217.364

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
David Peterson SP·5.054447189-556.4189
Craig Kimbrel RP1.010000013-90.0013
Joey Gerber RP2.020015047-310.0047

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·0-4410000122.267.410.533
Kyle Tucker RF·0-2210002119.237.352.305
Will Smith C·1-3301101020.298.400.426
Teoscar Hernandez LF·1-2201002116.314.357.549
Freddie Freeman 1B·2-4412000118.273.324.485
Andy Pages CF·1-4411310214.417.453.733
Max Muncy 3B·0-4400000417.226.317.453
Santiago Espinal 3B·0-4400000114.154.154.231
Miguel Rojas SS·3-440300019.357.387.429

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Justin Wrobleski SP·8.020002090-642.1290
Tanner Scott RP1.01000008-61.178

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningOhtani flied out to right.
  2. 3rd InningTaylor lined out to third.
  3. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  5. 7th InningSmith walked.
  6. 6th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningPages homered to left (364 feet), Tucker scored and Freeman scored.0–4
  2. 1st InningSmith singled to center, Ohtani scored, Tucker to second.0–1

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