Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

WSH @ PIT

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET62°F · 4 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Cade Cavalli vs Paul SkenesMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readPittsburgh Pirates

Washington Nationals 5 · Pittsburgh Pirates 16

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgePNC ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pittsburgh Pirates gets the model’s nod thanks to Pittsburgh Pirates’s margin advantage, with Pittsburgh Pirates’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 70%. Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates by 11.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCruz walked, Griffin scored, Davis to second, Mangum to third.2nd Inning1–1
  2. ScoreLowe homered to right (410 feet), Mangum scored and Cruz scored.6th Inning1–15
  3. ScoreAbrams homered to right (379 feet).1st Inning1–0
  4. ScoreYoung homered to left (385 feet), Lile scored.7th Inning3–15
  5. ScoreNuñez singled to right, Tena scored and Vivas scored.7th Inning5–15
  6. 🏃 TripleReynolds tripled to right, Davis scored, Cruz scored and Lowe scored.6th Inning1–8

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals100000400581
Pittsburgh Pirates041001001—16160

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-3301001222.277.397.600
Joey Wiemer RF0-110000013.364.462.606
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-5500000322.245.259.396
CJ Abrams SS·1-2211110010.327.406.618
Curtis Mead 1B0-2200000010.259.355.444
Daylen Lile LF·2-4412000113.286.324.343
Jacob Young CF·1-4411210113.289.319.511
Jose Tena 2B·1-3311000013.280.333.280
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-3311001015.333.441.370
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-4401200018.224.296.245
Keibert Ruiz C·0-4400000111.194.212.355

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cade Cavalli SP·1.134432048-244.6048
Paxton Schultz RP2.221104135-221.9335
Jackson Rutledge RP1.167722044-3047.2544
Brad Lord RP0.233311122-125.6822
Orlando Ribalta RP1.000000014-90.0014
Joey Wiemer RF1.021110021-109.0021

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·2-3332302023.355.429.645
Billy Cook RF1-110100001.250.250.250
Brandon Lowe 2B·3-5523510026.259.385.630
Bryan Reynolds LF·3-4413400118.290.375.484
Joey Bart C0-000010001.105.182.105
Ryan O'Hearn RF·1-5511100314.321.403.536
Nick Gonzales 3B0-000000105.267.327.333
Nick Yorke 3B·0-6600000218.289.404.368
Spencer Horwitz 1B·2-4422111023.244.360.341
Konnor Griffin SS·1-4421101216.152.256.182
Jake Mangum LF·1-4421001022.212.278.242
Henry Davis C·2-4432001117.229.325.314

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Paul Skenes SP·6.011116188-604.0088
Jose Urquidy RP1.064400131-238.5331
Evan Sisk RP2.010013031-200.0031

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningMead grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 6th InningCruz walked.
  3. 7th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play
  4. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  5. 8th InningMangum grounded out to second.
  6. 7th InningYorke flied out to center.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningCruz walked, Griffin scored, Davis to second, Mangum to third.1–1
  2. 6th InningLowe homered to right (410 feet), Mangum scored and Cruz scored.1–15
  3. 1st InningAbrams homered to right (379 feet).1–0
  4. 7th InningYoung homered to left (385 feet), Lile scored.3–15
  5. 7th InningNuñez singled to right, Tena scored and Vivas scored.5–15
  6. 6th InningReynolds tripled to right, Davis scored, Cruz scored and Lowe scored.1–8
  7. 3rd InningHorwitz homered to right (376 feet).1–5
  8. 2nd InningReynolds singled to left, Cruz scored, Lowe to second.1–4
  9. 2nd InningLowe singled to left, Davis scored and Mangum scored, Cruz to third.1–3
  10. 8th InningBart hit sacrifice fly to left, Davis scored.5–16
  11. 6th InningGriffin singled to right, O'Hearn scored, Horwitz to second.1–10
  12. 6th InningCruz singled to right, Griffin scored and Horwitz scored, Mangum to third.1–12
  13. 6th InningO'Hearn doubled to center, Reynolds scored.1–9

Trending