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In The Rafters

CLE @ STL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM CT73°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Joey Cantillo vs Michael McGreevyMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

Cleveland Guardians 5 · St. Louis Cardinals 6

Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

St. Louis Cardinals gets the model’s nod thanks to St. Louis Cardinals’s margin advantage, with St. Louis Cardinals’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 60%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cleveland Guardians

St. Louis Cardinals

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cleveland Guardians
AM Angel Martinez LF · #1 SK Steven Kwan CF · #38 CD Chase DeLauter RF · #24 JR Jose Ramirez 3B · #11 BR Brayan Rocchio SS · #4 TB Travis Bazzana 2B · #37 KM Kyle Manzardo 1B · #9 GW Gavin Williams P · #32 BN Bo Naylor C · #23
St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRamírez homered to right (398 feet).1st Inning1–0
  2. ScoreChurch hit sacrifice fly to right, Saggese scored.10th Inning5–6
  3. 🏃 DoublePozo doubled to right, Winn scored.9th Inning5–5
  4. ScoreHerrera homered to left (401 feet).1st Inning1–1
  5. 🏃 DoubleMartínez doubled to right, Brito scored and Manzardo scored.8th Inning5–2
  6. 🏃 DoubleValera doubled to left, Ramírez scored, Manzardo to third.8th Inning3–2

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Cleveland Guardians1100000300591
St. Louis Cardinals1010000211680

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·0-5500000017.239.320.313
Chase DeLauter RF·0-5500000130.273.349.618
Jose Ramirez 3B·2-4422111125.217.316.406
Kyle Manzardo 1B·2-5512000219.146.241.229
George Valera LF·1-4401100011.250.250.500
Juan Brito 2B0-111000008.261.320.348
Angel Martinez LF·1-4401200011.314.375.510
Daniel Schneemann CF·1-2211112023.268.318.488
Bo Naylor C·1-220100007.143.231.143
David Fry RF0-220000009.192.323.231
Brayan Rocchio SS·1-4401000219.204.338.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joey Cantillo SP·6.052224282-522.6182
Shawn Armstrong RP1.010001010-72.0810
Erik Sabrowski RP1.012212124-142.0024
Cade Smith RP1.011001018-125.0018
Tim Herrin RP0.10100002-10.002

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·2-442232019.231.338.385
Ivan Herrera C·1-3311111014.200.372.300
Alec Burleson 1B·1-4401000116.270.373.413
Jordan Walker RF·1-4401000115.328.386.734
Ramon Urias 3B·0-2200001010.219.324.500
Nolan Gorman 3B0-110000003.204.293.327
Masyn Winn SS·1-4411000225.182.345.250
Yohel Pozo C·1-4401100012.133.133.200
Thomas Saggese LF·0-4410000321.209.277.256
Victor Scott II CF·1-220100003.267.277.289
Jose Fermin LF0-001000106.231.313.231
Nathan Church LF0-000010002.143.184.229

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael McGreevy SP·5.042212287-532.4987
George Soriano RP1.000011012-82.2512
JoJo Romero RP1.110010020-100.0020
Ryne Stanek RP0.243300030-208.5930
Matt Svanson RP1.000002015-1013.9715
Riley O'Brien RP1.000001015-90.0015

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningSaggese struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 8th InningSchneemann lined out to right, Martínez to third.
  5. 10th InningBrito grounded out to first.
  6. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball 2
  7. 8th InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
  8. 10th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningRamírez homered to right (398 feet).1–0
  2. 10th InningChurch hit sacrifice fly to right, Saggese scored.5–6
  3. 9th InningPozo doubled to right, Winn scored.5–5
  4. 1st InningHerrera homered to left (401 feet).1–1
  5. 8th InningMartínez doubled to right, Brito scored and Manzardo scored.5–2
  6. 8th InningValera doubled to left, Ramírez scored, Manzardo to third.3–2
  7. 2nd InningSchneemann homered to center (424 feet).2–1
  8. 8th InningWetherholt homered to left (366 feet), Fermín scored.5–4
  9. 3rd InningWetherholt homered to right center (396 feet).2–2

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