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InTheRafters.com

KC @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET69°F · 10 mph wind · overcast⚾ Cole Ragans vs Framber ValdezMLB.TVRoyals.TVTigers.TV
Result readDetroit Tigers

Kansas City Royals 1 · Detroit Tigers 2

Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Detroit Tigers gets the model’s nod thanks to Detroit Tigers’s margin advantage, with Kansas City Royals’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 57%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Kansas City Royals

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJensen grounded into fielder's choice to first, Pasquantino scored, India out at second, Marte to third.2nd Inning1–0
  2. ScoreMcKinstry scored on Mears wild pitch.8th Inning1–1
  3. ScoreMcKinstry scored on Mears wild pitch.8th Inning1–1
  4. 🏃 DoubleDingler doubled to left, McGonigle scored.8th Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Kansas City Royals010000000150
Detroit Tigers00000002—240

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·1-4401000116.303.373.470
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·1-4401000112.270.365.317
Lane Thomas CF·1-3301001012.154.313.192
Salvador Perez C·1-4401000010.159.221.286
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-4410000113.143.233.159
Starling Marte RF·1-4401000017.222.222.333
Jonathan India 2B·0-2200001014.175.340.325
Carter Jensen C·0-3300100013.222.265.511
Isaac Collins LF·0-000000000.214.327.310
Tyler Tolbert LF0-220000003.000.000.000
Kyle Isbel CF0-110000015.308.386.487

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Ragans SP·6.010041093-563.7893
Matt Strahm RP1.010011024-154.0524
Nick Mears RP1.022210018-92.7018

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gleyber Torres 2B·0-4400000013.200.329.267
Matt Vierling CF·1-2201001015.174.200.348
Colt Keith 3B0-110000002.333.368.463
Kevin McGonigle SS·0-2210002020.311.417.492
Dillon Dingler C·2-4402100015.271.364.500
Wenceel Perez RF·0-3300001020.000.091.000
Riley Greene LF·0-3300000112.238.333.349
Spencer Torkelson 1B·0-1100002118.208.387.250
Javier Baez SS·0-3300000010.293.318.439
Zach McKinstry 2B·1-3311000010.195.250.317

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Framber Valdez SP·7.041121087-583.7587
Will Vest RP1.000003013-96.7513
Kenley Jansen RP1.010000015-102.4515

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningPérez walked.
  2. 6th InningVierling grounded out to third.
  3. 4th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningJensen grounded into fielder's choice to first, Pasquantino scored, India out at second, Marte to third.1–0
  2. 8th InningMcKinstry scored on Mears wild pitch.1–1
  3. 8th InningMcKinstry scored on Mears wild pitch.1–1
  4. 8th InningDingler doubled to left, McGonigle scored.1–2

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