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InTheRafters.com

NYM @ LAD

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM PT56°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Nolan McLean vs Yoshinobu YamamotoMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

New York Mets 1 · Los Angeles Dodgers 2

Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Dodgers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with New York Mets’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 77%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL

New York Mets

Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4
Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTucker singled to left, Rojas scored, Ohtani to second.8th Inning1–2
  2. ScoreLindor homered to right (402 feet).1st Inning1–0
  3. ScoreFreeman grounded out to first, Tucker scored.1st Inning1–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Mets100000000141
Los Angeles Dodgers10000001—230

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor SS·2-4412110113.194.301.306
Luis Robert Jr. CF·0-4400000122.259.394.370
Jorge Polanco 1B·0-4400000216.179.246.286
Bo Bichette 3B·1-4401000112.227.272.307
Francisco Alvarez C·0-3300001115.283.377.565
Brett Baty RF·0-3300000210.218.211.309
Mark Vientos 1B·0-3300000210.227.255.341
Marcus Semien 2B·0-330000019.188.243.266
Carson Benge LF·1-3301000014.143.236.204

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nolan McLean SP·7.021128095-682.2895
Brooks Raley RP1.011121015-91.3515

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·0-330000108.254.402.508
Kyle Tucker RF·1-3311101014.242.360.306
Will Smith C·1-4401000220.294.390.431
Freddie Freeman 1B·0-4400100212.257.307.457
Teoscar Hernandez LF·0-3300000313.296.339.519
Max Muncy 3B·1-330100009.232.317.446
Andy Pages CF·0-3300000213.397.433.698
Hyeseong Kim SS·0-1100001011.286.421.357
Miguel Rojas SS0-001000105.357.406.429
Alex Freeland 2B·0-220000004.190.261.310
Santiago Espinal 3B0-000000001.154.154.231

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP·7.2411171104-652.10104
Blake Treinen RP0.10000107-40.007
Alex Vesia RP1.000003010-90.0010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningRobert Jr. struck out looking.
  2. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Looking
  3. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
  4. 8th InningRojas walked.
  5. 8th InningPitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 7th InningPolanco struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningTucker singled to left, Rojas scored, Ohtani to second.1–2
  2. 1st InningLindor homered to right (402 feet).1–0
  3. 1st InningFreeman grounded out to first, Tucker scored.1–1

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