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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET75°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Robbie Ray vs Brady SingerMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds

San Francisco Giants 1 · Cincinnati Reds 2

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Cincinnati Reds on the back of Cincinnati Reds’s margin work and San Francisco Giants’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cincinnati Reds at 51%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds

Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds

Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreStewart homered to right center (390 feet).4th Inning0–2
  2. ScoreSteer homered to left center (401 feet).3rd Inning0–1
  3. ScoreAdames homered to left (386 feet).5th Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants000010000170
Cincinnati Reds00110000—231

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Willy Adames SS·2-4412110112.273.324.545
Luis Arraez 2B·3-4403000012.333.364.417
Matt Chapman 3B·0-4400000011.273.324.394
Rafael Devers 1B·0-3300001115.212.268.318
Casey Schmitt 1B·0-3300000110.341.413.537
Jung Hoo Lee RF·2-4402000015.207.262.345
Heliot Ramos LF·0-4400000111.226.250.258
Patrick Bailey C·0-3300000013.136.191.136
Daniel Susac C0-110000003.583.615.750
Jared Oliva CF·0-330000019.143.143.143

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robbie Ray SP·5.022246294-522.4294
Caleb Kilian RP1.010011022-111.2922
Keaton Winn RP1.000002016-103.6816
Ryan Walker RP1.000000013-94.5013

Cincinnati Reds

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Dane Myers CF·0-3300001122.261.320.261
Matt McLain 2B·0-2200002016.210.338.258
Elly De La Cruz SS·1-3301000115.284.360.552
Sal Stewart 1B·1-3311110222.310.431.638
Eugenio Suarez 3B·0-2200001115.217.299.333
Rece Hinds RF·0-3300000214.000.000.000
Spencer Steer LF·1-3311110012.185.224.407
Will Benson RF0-000000000.179.281.286
Tyler Stephenson C·0-2200001218.162.295.324
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B·0-3300000011.073.136.073

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brady Singer SP·6.061101175-505.6075
Graham Ashcraft RP1.000002013-112.0013
Tony Santillan RP1.010011016-80.0016
Emilio Pagan RP1.00000107-64.827

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningStewart homered to right center (390 feet).0–2
  2. 4th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 4th InningLee doubled to right.
  4. 1st InningMyers struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningStewart homered to right center (390 feet).0–2
  2. 3rd InningSteer homered to left center (401 feet).0–1
  3. 5th InningAdames homered to left (386 feet).1–2

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