SEA @ SD
Petco Park · San Diego, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT58°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Bryan Woo vs Michael KingESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVPadres.TVMariners.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners 1 · San Diego Padres 4
Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on San Diego Padres: San Diego Padres’s scoring margin profile and San Diego Padres’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 50%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 3.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 50%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBogaerts singled to center, Tatis Jr. scored and Merrill scored.1–3
- ScoreCanzone hit sacrifice fly to center, Arozarena scored, Raley to third.1–0
- ScoreBogaerts singled to right, Merrill scored.1–4
- ScoreTatis Jr. singled to center, Laureano scored.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .292 | .417 | .542 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .145 | .231 | .261 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | .206 | .308 | .279 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .134 | .216 | .224 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .286 | .408 | .381 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .296 | .356 | .556 |
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .194 | .419 | .226 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .200 | .275 | .457 |
| Patrick Wisdom 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .230 | .319 | .393 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo SP· | 7.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 92-61 | 2.16 | 92 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21-13 | 1.08 | 21 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .283 | .348 | .567 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .242 | .316 | .303 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .250 | .314 | .453 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .196 | .368 | .353 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .270 | .333 | .397 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .220 | .250 | .440 |
| Ty France 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .278 | .350 | .500 |
| Luis Campusano C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .333 | .364 | .667 |
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .145 | .242 | .218 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 85-49 | 2.78 | 85 |
| Adrian Morejon RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-7 | 9.39 | 9 |
| Jason Adam RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-10 | 0.00 | 18 |
| Mason Miller RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 0.00 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningRodríguez walked.
- 9th InningArozarena flied out to right.
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
- 3rd InningBogaerts singled to center, Tatis Jr. scored and Merrill scored.1–3
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningBogaerts singled to center, Tatis Jr. scored and Merrill scored.1–3
- 2nd InningCanzone hit sacrifice fly to center, Arozarena scored, Raley to third.1–0
- 8th InningBogaerts singled to right, Merrill scored.1–4
- 3rd InningTatis Jr. singled to center, Laureano scored.1–1