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InTheRafters.com

SEA @ SD

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT58°F · overcast⚾ Emerson Hancock vs Randy VasquezMLB.TVPadres.TVMariners.TV
Result readSan Diego Padres

Seattle Mariners 6 · San Diego Padres 7

Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to San Diego Padres on the back of San Diego Padres’s margin work and San Diego Padres’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 52%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Seattle Mariners

San Diego Padres

Injury Report

San Diego Padres

Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL

Seattle Mariners

Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Seattle Mariners
RA R. Arozarena LF · #56 JR J. Rodriguez CF · #44 LR Luke Raley RF · #20 LR Leo Rivas 3B · #76 CR J.P. Crawford SS · #3 CY Cole Young 2B · #2 JN Josh Naylor 1B · #12 BW Bryan Woo P · #22 CR Cal Raleigh C · #29
San Diego Padres
RL Ramon Laureano LF · #5 JM J. Merrill CF · #3 FT F. Tatis Jr. RF · #23 MM Manny Machado 3B · #13 XB X. Bogaerts SS · #2 JC J. Cronenworth 2B · #9 GS Gavin Sheets 1B · #30 YD Yu Darvish P · #11 FF Freddy Fermin C · #54

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTatis Jr. hit sacrifice fly to right, Machado scored.9th Inning6–3
  2. ScoreRaley homered to right center (434 feet), Arozarena scored.5th Inning6–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleMerrill doubled to left, Laureano scored and Campusano scored.9th Inning6–7
  4. 🏃 DoubleCanzone doubled to right, Raley scored and Arozarena scored.2nd Inning2–0
  5. ScoreCampusano singled to center, Sheets scored, France to third.9th Inning6–4
  6. ScoreDonovan singled to right, Arozarena scored and Young scored, Rivas to third.4th Inning4–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Seattle Mariners0202200006100
San Diego Padres0000020057100

Seattle Mariners

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brendan Donovan 3B·1-3301201220.294.431.529
Cal Raleigh C·1-4401001218.151.241.274
Julio Rodriguez CF·0-4400001125.194.301.264
Josh Naylor 1B·0-5500000318.125.203.208
Randy Arozarena LF·2-4432001023.299.420.403
Luke Raley RF·4-5524210119.339.391.644
Dominic Canzone RF·1-4401201119.205.289.462
Cole Young 2B·0-4410001125.215.311.369
Leo Rivas 3B·1-3301001119.171.333.220

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Emerson Hancock SP·6.042216198-682.2898
Eduard Bazardo RP1.000000011-101.1711
Gabe Speier RP1.010000012-92.5712
Andres Munoz RP0.245511026-189.4526
Jose Ferrer RP0.01000005-32.575

San Diego Padres

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ramon Laureano LF·2-5512100116.292.352.569
Jackson Merrill CF·2-5512200122.261.320.464
Xander Bogaerts SS·2-4412210010.284.342.448
Manny Machado 3B·0-3310001120.185.361.333
Gavin Sheets 1B·2-4412000019.241.268.481
Nick Castellanos RF·0-4400000219.179.238.256
Ty France 1B·1-4411000113.273.333.455
Jake Cronenworth 2B·0-2200001114.140.246.211
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF0-000010007.242.312.303
Freddy Fermin C·0-000000000.161.270.226
Luis Campusano C1-4411100012.320.346.600

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Randy Vasquez SP·4.054446085-452.4985
Ron Marinaccio RP2.032212142-273.9742
Wandy Peralta RP1.010011025-152.1625
Alek Jacob RP2.010013034-220.0034

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningRodríguez grounded into double play, third to second to first, Donovan out at second.
  2. 9th InningTatis Jr. hit sacrifice fly to right, Machado scored.6–3
  3. 9th InningMachado walked.
  4. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  5. 5th InningRaley homered to right center (434 feet), Arozarena scored.6–0

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningTatis Jr. hit sacrifice fly to right, Machado scored.6–3
  2. 5th InningRaley homered to right center (434 feet), Arozarena scored.6–0
  3. 9th InningMerrill doubled to left, Laureano scored and Campusano scored.6–7
  4. 2nd InningCanzone doubled to right, Raley scored and Arozarena scored.2–0
  5. 9th InningCampusano singled to center, Sheets scored, France to third.6–4
  6. 4th InningDonovan singled to right, Arozarena scored and Young scored, Rivas to third.4–0
  7. 6th InningBogaerts homered to left center (381 feet), Merrill scored.6–2
  8. 9th InningLaureano singled to left, France scored, Campusano to second.6–5

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