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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT62°F · 12 mph wind · light rain⚾ Jesse Scholtens vs Sean BurkeMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays 8 · Chicago White Sox 3

Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Tampa Bay Rays because Tampa Bay Rays owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Tampa Bay Rays has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 74%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAcuña grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Hill scored, McGuire out at second.9th Inning8–3
  2. ScoreMcGuire singled to center, Murray scored, Hill to third.9th Inning8–2
  3. ScoreCaminero grounded out to second, Feduccia scored, Walls to third.5th Inning2–0
  4. ScoreDeLuca homered to left center (393 feet), Aranda scored and Díaz scored.7th Inning8–0
  5. 🏃 DoubleDíaz doubled to right, Caminero scored, Aranda to third.7th Inning5–0
  6. 🏃 DoubleAranda doubled to right, Walls scored.5th Inning3–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays001021400890
Chicago White Sox000000003370

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson LF·0-4400000116.381.409.444
Junior Caminero 3B·1-4421211117.234.351.406
Jonathan Aranda 1B·1-3311101017.227.316.424
Ryan Vilade RF0-110000005.250.286.300
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-2211102021.369.468.569
Ben Williamson 2B0-110000002.265.333.347
Jake Fraley RF·1-331111005.229.308.400
Jonny DeLuca RF1-111131002.286.306.514
Cedric Mullins CF·1-4401000015.145.186.255
Richie Palacios 2B·1-3301001122.227.414.364
Hunter Feduccia C·1-4411000222.211.318.211
Taylor Walls SS·1-4411000010.320.370.360

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Sulser RP·2.030011036-224.9136
Jesse Scholtens RP·5.010023077-460.0077
Mason Englert RP1.010001012-98.3812
Ian Seymour RP1.023321025-1410.5725

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Andrew Benintendi LF·1-5501000117.178.245.289
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-2201002126.179.365.446
Edgar Quero C0-000000000.146.239.146
Miguel Vargas 3B·0-440000008.155.296.293
Colson Montgomery SS·0-4400000420.175.268.365
Sam Antonacci LF·1-3311001018.333.500.333
Tanner Murray LF·1-2211001013.235.316.412
Tristan Peters CF·0-330000006.225.279.250
Derek Hill RF1-111100004.263.391.263
Reese McGuire C·2-4402100019.200.238.200
Luisangel Acuna CF·0-3300001019.170.211.170

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Sean Burke SP·5.174432292-554.4392
Tyler Gilbert RP1.224422139-2420.2539
Bryan Hudson RP1.000001014-82.3514
Reese McGuire C·1.00000009-80.009

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningMurakami struck out swinging.
  2. 5th InningDíaz lined out to right.
  3. 7th InningBenintendi popped out to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningAcuña grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Hill scored, McGuire out at second.8–3
  2. 9th InningMcGuire singled to center, Murray scored, Hill to third.8–2
  3. 5th InningCaminero grounded out to second, Feduccia scored, Walls to third.2–0
  4. 7th InningDeLuca homered to left center (393 feet), Aranda scored and Díaz scored.8–0
  5. 7th InningDíaz doubled to right, Caminero scored, Aranda to third.5–0
  6. 5th InningAranda doubled to right, Walls scored.3–0
  7. 9th InningAntonacci scored on Seymour wild pitch, Hill to second on wild pitch by Seymour, Murray to third on wild pitch by Seymour.8–1
  8. 9th InningAntonacci scored on Seymour wild pitch, Hill to second on wild pitch by Seymour, Murray to third on wild pitch by Seymour.8–1
  9. 6th InningFraley homered to right (398 feet).4–0
  10. 3rd InningCaminero homered to left (393 feet).1–0

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