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InTheRafters.com

WSH @ PIT

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET65°F · 7 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Jake Irvin vs Mason MontgomeryMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readPittsburgh Pirates

Washington Nationals 0 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgePNC ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pittsburgh Pirates gets the model’s nod thanks to Pittsburgh Pirates’s margin advantage, with Pittsburgh Pirates’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 73%. Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGonzales reached on infield single to shortstop, O'Hearn scored, Ozuna to second.1st Inning0–2
  2. ScoreOzuna singled to right, Reynolds scored, O'Hearn to third.1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals000000000030
Pittsburgh Pirates20000000—250

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-4400000214.250.379.542
Curtis Mead 1B·1-4401000113.242.324.424
Daylen Lile LF·0-4400000114.269.305.321
Brady House 3B·0-4400000111.250.304.406
CJ Abrams SS·1-1101001017.367.458.717
Joey Wiemer RF·0-330000019.333.429.556
Nasim Nunez 2B0-110000005.208.288.226
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-330100018.333.439.364
Drew Millas C0-110000008.115.233.115
Keibert Ruiz C·0-2200000010.182.200.333
Jose Tena 2B0-110000015.296.345.296
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-2200001014.246.283.386

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·5.042235085-546.1685
Brad Lord RP3.010002039-284.6039

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·0-4400000215.310.380.563
Brandon Lowe 2B·0-4400000114.250.375.633
Bryan Reynolds LF·0-1110003020.288.400.470
Ryan O'Hearn RF·3-4413000123.333.413.524
Billy Cook RF0-000000000.250.250.250
Marcell Ozuna DH·1-4401100113.118.196.137
Nick Gonzales 3B·1-4401100111.245.298.302
Konnor Griffin SS0-000000000.189.279.243
Spencer Horwitz 1B·0-2200000110.222.345.311
Nick Yorke 3B·0-3300000011.256.365.326
Henry Davis C·0-220000007.216.326.297

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mason Montgomery RP·1.010001011-95.4011
Carmen Mlodzinski SP6.020025081-551.7781
Gregory Soto RP1.000002015-90.9315
Dennis Santana RP1.000000021-121.0021

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMillas lined out to right.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningHouse grounded out to third.
  4. 8th InningO'Hearn reached on infield single to second.
  5. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  6. 9th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play
  7. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningGonzales reached on infield single to shortstop, O'Hearn scored, Ozuna to second.0–2
  2. 1st InningOzuna singled to right, Reynolds scored, O'Hearn to third.0–1

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