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InTheRafters.com

DET @ BOS

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET48°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Casey Mize vs Ranger SuarezApple TV
Result readBoston Red Sox

Detroit Tigers 0 · Boston Red Sox 1

Final
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Boston Red Sox is the model’s call — Detroit Tigers on the margin numbers, Boston Red Sox on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 51%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Detroit Tigers

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13
Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreYoshida singled to right, Duran scored, Mayer to second.10th Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Detroit Tigers0000000000041
Boston Red Sox0000000001140

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gleyber Torres 2B·0-3300001012.239.360.310
Kevin McGonigle SS·1-4401000119.306.412.486
Jahmai Jones RF·2-440200019.176.176.235
Dillon Dingler C·0-3300001214.268.359.536
Matt Vierling CF·0-3300000014.207.226.345
Riley Greene LF0-110000002.254.346.380
Wenceel Perez RF·0-4400000112.053.100.211
Spencer Torkelson 1B·0-4400000017.203.356.254
Hao-Yu Lee 3B·0-3300000112.000.000.000
Javier Baez SS·1-330100008.280.315.420

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Casey Mize SP·6.230017094-582.7894
Kyle Finnegan RP1.000010021-110.0021
Brant Hurter RP0.10000003-32.843
Will Vest RP1.111012023-145.6323

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Roman Anthony LF·0-4400000115.232.338.348
Willson Contreras 1B·0-3300000116.283.434.467
Wilyer Abreu RF·0-4400000220.314.360.529
Trevor Story SS·0-4400000212.198.212.321
Jarren Duran LF·1-4411000119.172.254.266
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·0-3300001116.283.377.358
Marcelo Mayer 2B·0-3300001116.176.259.294
Caleb Durbin 3B·1-3301000014.138.231.190
Masataka Yoshida LF1-110110004.310.474.414
Connor Wong C·1-220100109.381.435.571

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ranger Suarez SP·8.020014093-553.2293
Aroldis Chapman RP1.020011016-101.2916
Garrett Whitlock RP1.000001010-62.2510

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 10th InningRafaela struck out swinging.
  2. 5th InningMayer struck out looking.
  3. 10th InningPitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging
  4. 7th InningRafaela grounded out to third.
  5. 7th InningVierling lined out to first.

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningYoshida singled to right, Duran scored, Mayer to second.0–1

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