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In The Rafters

KC @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Michael Wacha vs Cam SchlittlerMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Kansas City Royals 2 · New York Yankees 4

Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Kansas City Royals has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 79%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Kansas City Royals

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMcMahon homered to left (372 feet), Rice scored.8th Inning2–4
  2. ScorePasquantino homered to right (339 feet).8th Inning2–2
  3. ScorePasquantino grounded out to first, Garcia scored, Witt Jr. to third.6th Inning1–2
  4. ScoreRice homered to right (364 feet), Bellinger scored.4th Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Kansas City Royals000001010240
New York Yankees00020002—452

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·0-3310001117.269.341.410
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·0-4400000119.263.345.329
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·2-4412210013.173.256.293
Salvador Perez C·0-4400000218.160.210.307
Carter Jensen C·0-2200002220.214.274.446
Lane Thomas CF·1-4401000013.200.333.229
Jac Caglianone RF·1-4401000312.271.348.373
Michael Massey 2B·0-220000008.188.235.250
Jonathan India 2B0-220000018.167.310.313
Kyle Isbel CF·0-220000005.283.353.435
Starling Marte RF0-110000004.200.200.300

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Wacha SP·6.032236197-571.0097
Eli Morgan RP1.000020027-131.2927
Alex Lange RP1.022202118-125.1918

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-440000007.145.303.290
Aaron Judge RF·1-3301001115.240.329.600
Cody Bellinger LF·1-4411000117.246.341.348
Giancarlo Stanton DH·0-4400000319.257.316.386
Ben Rice 1B·2-4422210117.339.459.746
Amed Rosario 3B·0-3300000010.243.275.486
Ryan McMahon 3B1-111121004.140.275.209
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·0-2200002124.174.269.246
Jose Caballero SS·0-2200001114.215.271.323
Austin Wells C·0-2200001015.184.333.265

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cam Schlittler SP·6.031026093-631.9593
Brent Headrick RP1.000001011-91.5911
Camilo Doval RP1.011101116-107.5616
David Bednar RP1.000012017-104.1517

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningChisholm Jr. walked.
  2. 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
  3. 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
  4. 7th InningPitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 5th InningBellinger flied out to center.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningMcMahon homered to left (372 feet), Rice scored.2–4
  2. 8th InningPasquantino homered to right (339 feet).2–2
  3. 6th InningPasquantino grounded out to first, Garcia scored, Witt Jr. to third.1–2
  4. 4th InningRice homered to right (364 feet), Bellinger scored.0–2

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