SF @ WSH
Nationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM ET72°F · 2 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Logan Webb vs Zack LittellMLB.TVNationals.TVGray Media
Result readSan Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants 10 · Washington Nationals 5
Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on San Francisco Giants: Washington Nationals’s scoring margin profile and Washington Nationals’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 77%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 5.
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 77%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
Injury Report
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRamos walked, Arraez scored, Lee to second, Chapman to third.10–5
- ScoreSchmitt homered to left (399 feet).9–4
- ScoreGilbert homered to right center (389 feet).7–1
- 🏃 DoubleDevers doubled to right, Chapman scored.6–0
- ScoreWood homered to left center (441 feet).9–5
- ScoreTena singled to center, Lile scored.8–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 2 |
| Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .269 | .321 | .513 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .319 | .354 | .389 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .291 | .333 | .405 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | .215 | .262 | .316 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .315 | .373 | .519 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .246 | .308 | .377 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .232 | .274 | .304 |
| Daniel Susac C· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .524 | .545 | .714 |
| Drew Gilbert CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .143 | .333 | .571 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 99-64 | 5.10 | 99 |
| Matt Gage RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15-9 | 2.16 | 15 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18-12 | 1.13 | 18 |
| Blade Tidwell RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-4 | 2.25 | 10 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | .253 | .367 | .542 |
| Brady House 3B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .227 | .275 | .360 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .226 | .273 | .355 |
| Curtis Mead 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .216 | .293 | .378 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .364 | .469 | .682 |
| Joey Wiemer RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .350 | .435 | .575 |
| Jorbit Vivas 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .316 | .426 | .342 |
| Jacob Young CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .245 | .286 | .434 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .279 | .319 | .372 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .190 | .299 | .207 |
| Jose Tena 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .355 | .394 | .387 |
| Keibert Ruiz C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .184 | .220 | .316 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell SP· | 4.0 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 77-50 | 7.11 | 77 |
| Paxton Schultz RP | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 48-29 | 4.50 | 48 |
| PJ Poulin RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 3.86 | 13 |
| Richard Lovelady RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28-16 | 4.32 | 28 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningDevers struck out looking.
- 4th InningWood struck out looking.
- 3rd InningGarcía Jr. walked, House to second.
- 3rd InningRuiz singled to left, Tena to third.
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningRamos walked, Arraez scored, Lee to second, Chapman to third.10–5
- 7th InningSchmitt homered to left (399 feet).9–4
- 4th InningGilbert homered to right center (389 feet).7–1
- 2nd InningDevers doubled to right, Chapman scored.6–0
- 7th InningWood homered to left center (441 feet).9–5
- 6th InningTena singled to center, Lile scored.8–4
- 2nd InningRamos homered to center (416 feet), Schmitt scored and Lee scored.3–0
- 4th InningLile homered to center (418 feet), Wiemer scored.8–3
- 4th InningChapman singled to left, Adames scored.8–1
- 3rd InningHouse grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop second, Tena scored, House to first on error by first baseman Devers, Ruiz out at second.6–1
- 2nd InningChapman singled to center, Gilbert scored and Adames scored.5–0