KC @ NYY
Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET⚾ Noah Cameron vs Will WarrenMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readNew York Yankees
Kansas City Royals 4 · New York Yankees 13
Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
New York Yankees gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with Kansas City Royals’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 77%. Actual: New York Yankees by 9.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 77%. Actual: New York Yankees by 9.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
Kansas City Royals
Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreJensen homered to right (357 feet), Caglianone scored.2–10
- 🏃 DoubleEscarra doubled to center, Caballero scored.0–6
- ScoreRice homered to right (398 feet).0–5
- 🏃 TripleEscarra tripled to right, Grichuk scored and Caballero scored.2–12
- ScoreRosario singled to center, Caballero scored.0–8
- ScoreGrichuk hit sacrifice fly to right, McMahon scored, Bellinger to third.2–13
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 13 | 11 | 0 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .268 | .337 | .415 |
| Jonathan India 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .310 | .313 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .266 | .344 | .329 |
| Tyler Tolbert LF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .165 | .244 | .278 |
| Jac Caglianone RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .270 | .343 | .365 |
| Carter Jensen C· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .237 | .303 | .508 |
| Michael Massey 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .200 | .238 | .300 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | .196 | .302 | .283 |
| Lane Thomas CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .184 | .311 | .211 |
| Kyle Isbel CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .265 | .333 | .408 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cameron SP· | 4.0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 74-39 | 5.40 | 74 |
| Mitch Spence RP | 4.0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 84-46 | 13.50 | 84 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .262 | .289 | .548 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | .234 | .337 | .584 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .140 | .288 | .209 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .274 | .368 | .452 |
| Giancarlo Stanton DH· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .240 | .296 | .360 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | .339 | .468 | .774 |
| Randal Grichuk LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .100 | .136 | .200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | .164 | .265 | .233 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .232 | .284 | .333 |
| J.C. Escarra C· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .158 | .200 | .316 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warren SP· | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 93-62 | 2.49 | 93 |
| Paul Blackburn RP | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32-21 | 4.50 | 32 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningMcMahon walked.
- 7th InningJensen homered to right (357 feet), Caglianone scored.2–10
- 4th InningCaglianone struck out looking.
- 9th InningCollins struck out swinging.
- 8th InningRice walked, Bellinger to second, McMahon to third.
- 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningJensen homered to right (357 feet), Caglianone scored.2–10
- 4th InningEscarra doubled to center, Caballero scored.0–6
- 3rd InningRice homered to right (398 feet).0–5
- 7th InningEscarra tripled to right, Grichuk scored and Caballero scored.2–12
- 6th InningRosario singled to center, Caballero scored.0–8
- 8th InningGrichuk hit sacrifice fly to right, McMahon scored, Bellinger to third.2–13
- 9th InningMassey doubled to right, Jensen scored and Tolbert scored.4–13
- 3rd InningRosario homered to left center (390 feet), Escarra scored.0–2
- 6th InningBellinger homered to right center (374 feet), Rosario scored.0–10
- 4th InningBellinger singled to center, Escarra scored.0–7
- 3rd InningBellinger homered to right (385 feet), Judge scored.0–4