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InTheRafters.com

KC @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET⚾ Cole Ragans vs Ryan WeathersMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Kansas City Royals 0 · New York Yankees 7

Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Kansas City Royals has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 78%. Actual: New York Yankees by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Kansas City Royals

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGrisham homered to right (369 feet), Bellinger scored and Goldschmidt scored.5th Inning0–7
  2. ScoreRice homered to right (350 feet).2nd Inning0–4
  3. ScoreWells hit sacrifice fly to left, Bellinger scored.1st Inning0–3
  4. ScoreJudge homered to center (425 feet), Rice scored.1st Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Kansas City Royals000000000060
New York Yankees31003000—770

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·0-4400000220.256.323.395
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·2-3302001115.280.362.354
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-4400000221.157.234.265
Salvador Perez C·0-4400000216.152.200.291
Lane Thomas CF·1-3301001019.195.327.220
Starling Marte RF·1-330100008.217.250.304
Isaac Collins LF·0-4400000112.180.281.260
Michael Massey 2B·0-330000019.174.208.261
Elias Diaz C·2-330200009.667.6671.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Ragans SP·4.147786397-496.0097
Mason Black RP1.230012038-220.0038
Eli Morgan RP1.000011015-91.1315
John Schreiber RP1.00000005-56.145

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ben Rice 1B·1-3321112124.338.476.800
Aaron Judge RF·1-5511210313.232.330.598
Cody Bellinger LF·1-3321002019.276.380.461
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·0-4410001122.150.320.400
Trent Grisham CF·2-4412311114.167.321.348
Amed Rosario 3B·1-3301001112.267.306.533
Austin Wells C·0-1100102016.180.344.260
Jose Caballero SS·1-4401000016.233.282.329
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-3300001219.130.286.196

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Weathers SP·7.150018095-663.1895
Angel Chivilli RP1.210011034-173.8634

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningCollins struck out looking.
  2. 9th InningPitch 5 : Strike 3 Looking
  3. 5th InningRice struck out swinging.
  4. 4th InningPasquantino struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningGrisham homered to right (369 feet), Bellinger scored and Goldschmidt scored.0–7
  2. 2nd InningRice homered to right (350 feet).0–4
  3. 1st InningWells hit sacrifice fly to left, Bellinger scored.0–3
  4. 1st InningJudge homered to center (425 feet), Rice scored.0–2

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