CHW @ ARI
Chase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Sean Burke vs Merrill KellyMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readChicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox 11 · Arizona Diamondbacks 5
Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Chicago White Sox: Chicago White Sox’s scoring margin profile and Chicago White Sox’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 71%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 6.
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 71%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago White Sox
- Davis Martin SP · #65
- Grant Taylor RP · #31
- Anthony Kay SP · #18
- Bryan Hudson RP · #60
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks
Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
Chicago White Sox
Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreThomas homered to left center (415 feet).8–2
- ScoreGurriel Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Perdomo scored.7–1
- ScoreMontgomery homered to center (440 feet).7–0
- 🏃 DoubleMontgomery doubled to center, Benintendi scored and Murakami scored, Vargas to third.2–0
- ScoreMurakami homered to right (426 feet).5–0
- 🏃 TripleAntonacci tripled to center, Montgomery scored.4–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Chicago White Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi LF· | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .209 | .264 | .358 |
| Munetaka Murakami 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | .234 | .394 | .584 |
| Miguel Vargas 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .177 | .320 | .392 |
| Colson Montgomery SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .213 | .323 | .500 |
| Everson Pereira RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .275 | .348 | .600 |
| Sam Antonacci LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .190 | .320 | .429 |
| Chase Meidroth 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | .253 | .344 | .354 |
| Tristan Peters CF· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .250 | .308 | .271 |
| Reese McGuire C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .192 | .300 | .192 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 101-68 | 4.10 | 101 |
| Lucas Sims RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16-7 | 3.00 | 16 |
| Osvaldo Bido RP | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 53-31 | 7.50 | 53 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .218 | .284 | .379 |
| Corbin Carroll RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 29 | .288 | .391 | .575 |
| Geraldo Perdomo SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | .233 | .341 | .342 |
| Adrian Del Castillo C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .263 | .282 | .395 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .091 | .167 | .091 |
| Jose Fernandez 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .297 | .297 | .422 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .224 | .241 | .368 |
| Ildemaro Vargas 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .361 | .381 | .623 |
| Alek Thomas CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .185 | .221 | .338 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly SP· | 4.1 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 101-56 | 9.31 | 101 |
| Taylor Clarke RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-10 | 3.09 | 16 |
| Jonathan Loaisiga RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27-18 | 3.97 | 27 |
| Kevin Ginkel RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 4.66 | 15 |
| Ryan Thompson RP | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10-3 | 3.12 | 10 |
| James McCann C | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13-7 | 22.50 | 13 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningMcGuire walked.
- 9th InningDel Castillo flied out to center.
- 9th InningPerdomo walked.
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningThomas homered to left center (415 feet).8–2
- 4th InningGurriel Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Perdomo scored.7–1
- 2nd InningMontgomery homered to center (440 feet).7–0
- 1st InningMontgomery doubled to center, Benintendi scored and Murakami scored, Vargas to third.2–0
- 2nd InningMurakami homered to right (426 feet).5–0
- 1st InningAntonacci tripled to center, Montgomery scored.4–0
- 9th InningAntonacci inside-the-park homered to left (57 feet), Pereira scored.10–2
- 2nd InningVargas homered to left (372 feet).6–0
- 9th InningVargas homered to right (374 feet), Fernandez scored and Arenado scored.11–5
- 9th InningBenintendi grounded into double play, pitcher to shortstop to first, Meidroth scored, McGuire out at second, Peters to third.11–2
- 5th InningMcGuire hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Meidroth scored, Peters to second.8–1
- 1st InningPereira hit sacrifice fly to right, Vargas scored, Montgomery to third.3–0