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InTheRafters.com

MIL @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET59°F · 8 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Kyle Harrison vs Keider MonteroMLB.TVBrewers.TVTigers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 12 · Detroit Tigers 4

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers’s scoring margin profile and Milwaukee Brewers’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 89%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 8.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTurang hit sacrifice fly to left, Frelick scored, Hamilton to third.8th Inning9–1
  2. 🏃 DoubleVierling doubled to center, McGonigle scored and Pérez scored.9th Inning12–4
  3. ScoreRengifo singled to right, Mitchell scored.8th Inning7–1
  4. ScoreFrelick singled to right, Mitchell scored, Rengifo to second.2nd Inning1–0
  5. ScoreSánchez grounded out to second, Contreras scored, Bauers to third.8th Inning12–1
  6. 🏃 DoubleBauers doubled to left, Perkins scored, Contreras to third.8th Inning11–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers03000027012161
Detroit Tigers000100003491

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·2-5502400020.307.430.560
William Contreras C·2-5512200010.295.382.436
Jake Bauers 1B·2-5502100023.236.304.472
Gary Sanchez C·1-5511100119.234.410.617
Garrett Mitchell CF·2-5522100122.273.437.436
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-3311101020.175.243.270
Joey Ortiz SS0-111000015.192.263.192
Sal Frelick RF·1-3321101019.197.305.268
Luis Matos RF0-110000001.176.222.176
David Hamilton 3B·4-5524000015.240.377.240
Blake Perkins LF·0-2220101217.118.250.176
Greg Jones LF1-110100002.200.200.200

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Harrison SP·3.041133072-393.0672
Grant Anderson RP2.010001017-102.7017
Trevor Megill RP1.000001014-109.0014
Aaron Ashby RP1.000022027-153.0027
Jake Woodford RP2.043302042-265.9142

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jahmai Jones RF·0-220000005.217.217.391
Kerry Carpenter RF0-3300000215.217.329.433
Gleyber Torres 2B·1-2201001020.244.371.302
Wenceel Perez RF1-111100005.071.133.179
Kevin McGonigle SS·2-5512100020.322.410.494
Matt Vierling CF·1-4401201018.238.267.405
Dillon Dingler C·0-5500000224.264.346.528
Riley Greene LF·1-3311001015.265.378.386
Spencer Torkelson 1B·1-3301001221.186.337.229
Hao-Yu Lee 3B·1-3301001218.214.267.286
Javier Baez SS·0-330000017.279.308.410
Colt Keith 3B1-111100004.309.338.412

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Keider Montero SP·5.253313088-553.6888
Enmanuel De Jesus RP1.177521049-2910.1349
Connor Seabold RP1.022200022-144.2222
Jake Rogers C1.020001014-90.0014

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningOrtiz struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningPitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 7th InningLee walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningTurang hit sacrifice fly to left, Frelick scored, Hamilton to third.9–1
  2. 9th InningVierling doubled to center, McGonigle scored and Pérez scored.12–4
  3. 8th InningRengifo singled to right, Mitchell scored.7–1
  4. 2nd InningFrelick singled to right, Mitchell scored, Rengifo to second.1–0
  5. 8th InningSánchez grounded out to second, Contreras scored, Bauers to third.12–1
  6. 8th InningBauers doubled to left, Perkins scored, Contreras to third.11–1
  7. 8th InningMitchell tripled to right, Sánchez scored.6–1
  8. 7th InningTurang singled to left, Hamilton scored, Perkins to third.4–1
  9. 8th InningPerkins hit by pitch, Ortiz scored, Hamilton to second, Frelick to third.8–1
  10. 7th InningContreras singled to left, Perkins scored, Turang to third.5–1
  11. 9th InningMcGonigle singled to right, Keith scored, Pérez to third.12–2
  12. 4th InningBáez grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Greene scored, Lee out at second, Torkelson to third.3–1
  13. 8th InningContreras singled to left, Hamilton scored, Perkins to second.10–1
  14. 2nd InningTurang singled to right, Frelick scored and Rengifo scored, Turang to second, Hamilton thrown out at home.3–0

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