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InTheRafters.com

MIL @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET53°F · 5 mph wind · overcast⚾ DL Hall vs Casey MizeMLB.TVBrewers.TVTigers.TV
Result readDetroit Tigers

Milwaukee Brewers 2 · Detroit Tigers 5

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Detroit Tigers is the model’s call — Milwaukee Brewers on the margin numbers, Milwaukee Brewers on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleMcGonigle doubled to right, Báez scored.5th Inning1–3
  2. ScoreCarpenter homered to right (379 feet).8th Inning2–5
  3. ScoreKeith singled to right, McGonigle scored.5th Inning1–4
  4. ScoreBauers singled to center, Rengifo scored.8th Inning2–4
  5. ScoreContreras singled to center, Turang scored.3rd Inning1–0
  6. ScoreTorkelson homered to left center (400 feet), Greene scored.4th Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers001000010260
Detroit Tigers00022001—590

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·0-3310002126.295.429.538
William Contreras C·1-4401100214.293.376.427
Jake Bauers 1B·1-4401100117.237.301.461
Gary Sanchez C·0-4400000114.216.385.569
Garrett Mitchell CF·0-3300001219.259.427.414
Brandon Lockridge LF·2-4402000114.271.338.322
Sal Frelick RF·1-4401000017.200.302.267
David Hamilton 3B·0-3300001115.226.369.226
Joey Ortiz SS·0-220000005.185.254.185
Luis Rengifo 3B1-1111001012.188.264.281
Greg Jones LF0-000000000.200.200.200

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
DL Hall RP·2.000022032-162.3132
Chad Patrick SP4.064412180-492.3580
Carlos Rodriguez RP2.031102135-252.2535

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle SS·1-3311101125.322.413.500
Gleyber Torres 2B·1-3301001120.247.376.303
Jahmai Jones RF·0-110000004.208.208.375
Colt Keith 3B2-3302100014.324.351.423
Riley Greene LF·2-4412000215.276.382.402
Spencer Torkelson 1B·1-4411210014.189.333.270
Wenceel Perez RF·0-440000019.063.118.156
Kerry Carpenter RF·1-4411110118.219.325.469
Matt Vierling CF0-000000000.238.267.405
Javier Baez SS·1-4411000013.277.304.400
Jake Rogers C·0-2200001015.130.185.217

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Casey Mize SP·6.031137088-542.5188
Kyle Finnegan RP1.00000107-60.007
Will Vest RP1.021100022-155.4022
Kenley Jansen RP1.010021036-221.3536

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningMcGonigle doubled to right, Báez scored.1–3
  2. 9th InningHamilton walked.
  3. 9th InningFrelick lined out to right.
  4. 9th InningMitchell struck out swinging.
  5. 5th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  6. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
  7. 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningMcGonigle doubled to right, Báez scored.1–3
  2. 8th InningCarpenter homered to right (379 feet).2–5
  3. 5th InningKeith singled to right, McGonigle scored.1–4
  4. 8th InningBauers singled to center, Rengifo scored.2–4
  5. 3rd InningContreras singled to center, Turang scored.1–0
  6. 4th InningTorkelson homered to left center (400 feet), Greene scored.1–2

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