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InTheRafters.com

MIL @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET73°F · 5 mph wind · clear⚾ Brandon Sproat vs Tarik SkubalESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVBrewers.TVTigers.TV
Result readDetroit Tigers

Milwaukee Brewers 4 · Detroit Tigers 5

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Detroit Tigers on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJones homered to left (397 feet).8th Inning4–4
  2. 🏃 DoublePerkins doubled to left, Matos scored and Sánchez scored.7th Inning3–3
  3. ScoreTorkelson homered to left center (382 feet).9th Inning4–5
  4. 🏃 DoubleSánchez doubled to right, Contreras scored.4th Inning1–2
  5. ScoreHamilton singled to left, Perkins scored, Ortiz to second.7th Inning4–3
  6. ScoreDingler grounded into fielder's choice to second, Keith scored, Greene out at second.6th Inning1–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers0001003004100
Detroit Tigers200001011570

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-3301001217.274.348.323
Brice Turang 2B·0-4400000112.280.412.512
William Contreras C·1-4411000016.291.371.430
Gary Sanchez C·2-4412100122.236.391.582
Luis Matos RF·1-3311000010.200.238.200
Garrett Mitchell CF0-110000015.254.421.407
Blake Perkins LF·1-3311200014.135.256.216
Sal Frelick RF1-110100003.211.310.276
Luis Rengifo 3B·0-3300000014.179.253.269
Joey Ortiz SS·1-3301001117.193.270.193
David Hamilton 3B·2-4402100010.246.377.246

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Sproat SP·5.143324176-466.4576
Aaron Ashby RP0.110010015-72.9315
Grant Anderson RP0.10000104-32.634
Trevor Megill RP1.00000008-58.008
Angel Zerpa RP1.011102125-156.0025
Abner Uribe RP0.11110118-54.828

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle SS·1-4411000114.319.407.500
Gleyber Torres 2B·0-4400000116.237.363.290
Colt Keith 3B·0-2210001012.315.351.411
Jahmai Jones RF1-111111007.240.240.520
Riley Greene LF·2-3312211121.289.396.444
Dillon Dingler C·1-4401100113.263.341.513
Kerry Carpenter RF·0-220000017.212.316.455
Matt Vierling CF0-110000119.233.277.395
Spencer Torkelson 1B·1-4411110216.192.330.308
Wenceel Perez RF·0-3300000012.057.108.143
Javier Baez SS·1-330100009.279.306.397

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tarik Skubal SP·6.074405094-712.7294
Tyler Holton RP1.020010018-93.2718
Burch Smith RP1.110011024-130.0024
Brant Hurter RP0.20000004-22.794

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningTorres struck out swinging.
  2. 7th InningSánchez singled to center.
  3. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
  4. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  5. 8th InningGreene struck out looking.
  6. 8th InningJones homered to left (397 feet).4–4
  7. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningJones homered to left (397 feet).4–4
  2. 7th InningPerkins doubled to left, Matos scored and Sánchez scored.3–3
  3. 9th InningTorkelson homered to left center (382 feet).4–5
  4. 4th InningSánchez doubled to right, Contreras scored.1–2
  5. 7th InningHamilton singled to left, Perkins scored, Ortiz to second.4–3
  6. 6th InningDingler grounded into fielder's choice to second, Keith scored, Greene out at second.1–3
  7. 1st InningGreene homered to left center (406 feet), McGonigle scored.0–2

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