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InTheRafters.com

BOS @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET63°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Brayan Bello vs Brandon YoungMLB.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox 3 · Baltimore Orioles 10

Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Baltimore Orioles: Boston Red Sox’s scoring margin profile and Boston Red Sox’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 89%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRutschman singled to left, Henderson scored, Ward to second.7th Inning3–10
  2. 🏃 DoubleMayer doubled to right, Abreu scored.6th Inning3–9
  3. ScoreRutschman homered to right center (395 feet), Ward scored.1st Inning0–3
  4. ScoreRutschman homered to right (393 feet), Ward scored.4th Inning1–8
  5. ScoreRutschman grounded into fielder's choice to third, Henderson scored, Ward out at second.2nd Inning1–5
  6. ScoreMayo homered to left center (397 feet).5th Inning2–9

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Boston Red Sox0100110003100
Baltimore Orioles41121010—10200

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren Duran LF·1-5501000017.198.261.296
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·0-4400100015.244.322.321
Masataka Yoshida LF·1-4401000014.261.393.326
Willson Contreras 1B·0-4400000420.239.362.398
Wilyer Abreu RF·2-4422110115.295.350.495
Trevor Story SS·2-3302001020.200.239.305
Marcelo Mayer 2B·2-4402100012.222.296.365
Caleb Durbin 3B·1-3311001012.148.242.210
Carlos Narvaez C·1-4401000114.246.271.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brayan Bello SP·3.1138812585-549.0085
Jovani Moran RP2.231111136-262.2536
Ryan Watson RP2.041102043-297.3143

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·3-5533110123.207.282.477
Blaze Alexander 3B0-000000000.185.254.204
Taylor Ward LF·4-4424001019.311.419.466
Adley Rutschman C·3-5523620024.349.417.698
Pete Alonso 1B·1-5501000121.212.322.364
Dylan Beavers RF·3-5513110012.254.320.388
Samuel Basallo C·4-5514110013.217.316.406
Leody Taveras CF·0-4400001121.304.409.464
Coby Mayo 3B·2-5512110219.182.270.348
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·0-4400000012.280.302.488

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Young SP·5.273315193-652.5393
Yennier Cano RP0.10000003-22.083
Andrew Kittredge RP1.000000016-120.0016
Cameron Foster RP2.030011027-176.3527

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningRafaela grounded out to second.
  2. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 6th InningStory flied out to center, Abreu to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningRutschman singled to left, Henderson scored, Ward to second.3–10
  2. 6th InningMayer doubled to right, Abreu scored.3–9
  3. 1st InningRutschman homered to right center (395 feet), Ward scored.0–3
  4. 4th InningRutschman homered to right (393 feet), Ward scored.1–8
  5. 2nd InningRutschman grounded into fielder's choice to third, Henderson scored, Ward out at second.1–5
  6. 5th InningMayo homered to left center (397 feet).2–9
  7. 5th InningRafaela grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Durbin scored, Narváez out at second.2–8
  8. 3rd InningBasallo homered to right center (395 feet).1–6
  9. 1st InningHenderson homered to right (410 feet).0–1
  10. 2nd InningAbreu homered to right center (403 feet).1–4
  11. 1st InningBeavers homered to right center (411 feet).0–4

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