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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Yusei Kikuchi vs Noah CameronMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals

Los Angeles Angels 3 · Kansas City Royals 6

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Kansas City Royals is the model’s call — Kansas City Royals on the margin numbers, Kansas City Royals on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 70%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCollins singled to left, Isbel scored.8th Inning3–6
  2. ScoreTrout walked, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second, Teodosio to third.7th Inning2–5
  3. ScoreMarte hit sacrifice fly, Witt Jr. scored, Thomas out at second.4th Inning0–1
  4. 🏃 DoubleMassey doubled to right, Díaz scored.4th Inning0–5
  5. ScoreCollins singled to center, Marte scored, Jensen to third.4th Inning0–2
  6. 🏃 DoubleDíaz doubled to left, Collins scored and Jensen scored.4th Inning0–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels000000300380
Kansas City Royals00050001680

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·1-5501100115.236.357.434
Mike Trout CF·0-2200103225.233.425.544
Jo Adell RF·1-5501100111.266.308.367
Jorge Soler RF·1-3301001113.220.333.439
Oswald Peraza 2B·0-2200001112.286.359.514
Yoan Moncada 3B0-110000015.174.337.333
Nolan Schanuel 1B·0-4400000015.229.296.365
Vaughn Grissom 2B·2-4412000015.292.419.375
Logan O'Hoppe C·1-3311001012.213.333.267
Bryce Teodosio LF·2-331200016.214.241.214
Adam Frazier 2B0-110000014.256.370.410

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Yusei Kikuchi SP·5.055525090-606.2190
Shaun Anderson RP1.010012020-125.1720
Ryan Zeferjahn RP1.000002013-106.3913
Drew Pomeranz RP1.021111030-177.2030

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Loftin 3B·0-4400000114.235.350.353
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·1-4411000020.283.360.364
Salvador Perez C·0-4400000319.165.204.289
Lane Thomas CF·0-2200002118.191.345.213
Starling Marte RF·1-3311100124.231.250.308
Kyle Isbel CF0-001000000.274.328.468
Carter Jensen C·2-441200008.288.361.562
Isaac Collins LF·2-3312201119.206.296.270
Elias Diaz C·1-3311201114.429.500.714
Michael Massey 2B·1-4401100217.243.256.459

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Noah Cameron SP·6.183336088-605.1388
Nick Mears RP0.100020014-63.0014
Daniel Lynch IV RP0.10000105-30.965
Matt Strahm RP1.00000008-64.668
Lucas Erceg RP1.000012018-105.2318

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningFrazier struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningCollins singled to left, Isbel scored.3–6
  3. 8th InningMarte singled to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningCollins singled to left, Isbel scored.3–6
  2. 7th InningTrout walked, O'Hoppe scored, Neto to second, Teodosio to third.2–5
  3. 4th InningMarte hit sacrifice fly, Witt Jr. scored, Thomas out at second.0–1
  4. 4th InningMassey doubled to right, Díaz scored.0–5
  5. 4th InningCollins singled to center, Marte scored, Jensen to third.0–2
  6. 4th InningDíaz doubled to left, Collins scored and Jensen scored.0–4
  7. 7th InningAdell grounded into fielder's choice to third, Teodosio scored, Trout out at second, Neto to third.3–5
  8. 7th InningNeto singled to center, Grissom scored, Teodosio to second, O'Hoppe to third.1–5

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