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InTheRafters.com

BOS @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:05 PM ET53°F · 11 mph wind · rain⚾ Garrett Crochet vs Trevor RogersMLB.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox 17 · Baltimore Orioles 1

Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Boston Red Sox is the model’s call — Boston Red Sox on the margin numbers, Boston Red Sox on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 77%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 16.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreKiner-Falefa singled to left, Durbin scored, Wong to third.2nd Inning2–0
  2. ScoreRafaela singled to left, Wong scored, Kiner-Falefa to second.2nd Inning3–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleDurbin doubled to right, Monasterio scored.2nd Inning1–0
  4. ScoreDurbin homered to left (386 feet), Duran scored.9th Inning14–1
  5. ScoreTaveras grounded out to first, O'Neill scored, Jackson to third.7th Inning7–1
  6. ScoreMonasterio homered to center (388 feet), Contreras scored, Abreu scored and Story scored.9th Inning12–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Boston Red Sox030130001017171
Baltimore Orioles000000100163

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·3-5523101130.265.344.361
Willson Contreras 1B·2-4422511127.250.369.435
Wilyer Abreu RF·2-6612000024.297.349.485
Trevor Story SS·1-6621000221.198.235.297
Marcelo Mayer 2B0-000000000.222.296.365
Andruw Monasterio SS·3-6633410019.243.317.432
Jarren Duran LF·1-5511000117.198.258.291
Caleb Durbin 3B·2-4432311124.165.260.271
Connor Wong C·1-3311302021.300.382.467
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B·2-5522100118.212.257.212

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Garrett Crochet SP·6.030027090-576.3090
Greg Weissert RP1.021001021-144.2221
Danny Coulombe RP1.010001015-116.1415
Tyler Samaniego RP1.000000012-80.0012

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·2-3302001022.321.430.472
Gunnar Henderson SS·0-4400000317.200.273.461
Adley Rutschman C·1-440100009.340.404.660
Pete Alonso 1B·0-4400000216.204.311.350
Tyler O'Neill RF·1-4411000119.242.342.333
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·1-4401000111.279.300.477
Leody Taveras CF·0-3300101014.288.400.441
Coby Mayo 3B·1-3301000015.188.273.362
Blaze Alexander 3B·0-220000019.179.246.196
Colton Cowser RF0-110000016.185.262.222

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trevor Rogers SP·1.243322062-384.7562
Tyler Wells RP1.110001023-153.3823
Albert Suarez RP4.024032059-343.4659
Keegan Akin RP1.066602132-2354.0032
Weston Wilson 3B1.044400225-1636.0025

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningWong walked.
  2. 8th InningDurbin struck out swinging.
  3. 4th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  4. 9th InningO'Neill flied out to left.
  5. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningKiner-Falefa singled to left, Durbin scored, Wong to third.2–0
  2. 2nd InningRafaela singled to left, Wong scored, Kiner-Falefa to second.3–0
  3. 2nd InningDurbin doubled to right, Monasterio scored.1–0
  4. 9th InningDurbin homered to left (386 feet), Duran scored.14–1
  5. 7th InningTaveras grounded out to first, O'Neill scored, Jackson to third.7–1
  6. 9th InningMonasterio homered to center (388 feet), Contreras scored, Abreu scored and Story scored.12–1
  7. 9th InningContreras singled to left, Rafaela scored.8–1
  8. 9th InningContreras homered to center (418 feet), Kiner-Falefa scored and Rafaela scored.17–1
  9. 4th InningContreras hit sacrifice fly to left, Kiner-Falefa scored.4–0
  10. 5th InningWong doubled to right, Durbin scored, Story scored and Monasterio scored.7–0

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