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InTheRafters.com

LAA @ KC

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM CT⚾ Walbert Urena vs Cole RagansMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals

Los Angeles Angels 1 · Kansas City Royals 12

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Kansas City Royals because Kansas City Royals owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Kansas City Royals has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 62%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 11.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25
Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJensen singled to left, Collins scored and Loftin scored, Isbel to second.8th Inning1–12
  2. ScorePasquantino walked, Loftin scored, Jensen to second, Isbel to third.6th Inning1–5
  3. 💣 Home RunLoftin grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Collins scored and Massey scored on throwing error by shortstop Neto, Loftin second.7th Inning1–8
  4. ScoreLoftin singled to right, Caglianone scored and Perez scored, Collins to third.8th Inning1–10
  5. ScoreLoftin walked, Pasquantino scored, Collins to second, Perez to third.3rd Inning0–4
  6. ScoreMassey singled to left, Caglianone scored, Collins to second.7th Inning1–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels000100000182
Kansas City Royals02200134—12150

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-4400000218.227.346.418
Mike Trout CF·1-4401000118.234.419.532
Jo Adell RF·1-4411110118.265.306.389
Jorge Soler RF·1-3301000115.224.333.447
Yoan Moncada 3B1-110100002.186.345.343
Oswald Peraza 2B·1-4401000219.284.354.500
Vaughn Grissom 2B·3-4403000010.357.457.464
Nolan Schanuel 1B·0-3300000210.222.288.354
Adam Frazier 2B0-110000017.250.362.400
Logan O'Hoppe C·0-3300000112.205.323.256
Travis d'Arnaud C0-110000002.125.263.188
Bryce Teodosio LF·0-220000029.200.226.200
Josh Lowe LF0-110000014.154.222.308

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Walbert Urena SP·3.264453181-444.7681
Nick Sandlin RP1.100002019-109.5319
Chase Silseth RP1.021120023-133.4823
Shaun Anderson RP1.033211028-165.9428
Jordan Romano RP0.234410036-2210.1336
Adam Frazier 2B0.110010011-60.0011

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Carter Jensen C·1-5501201225.282.360.538
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·2-5512001019.288.367.375
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-3310103036.155.261.289
Salvador Perez C·3-5523210118.186.222.333
Jac Caglianone RF·1-3331002119.256.341.385
Isaac Collins LF·1-2221002120.215.329.277
Michael Massey 2B·2-5512100020.262.273.452
Nick Loftin 3B·3-4423401021.333.440.429
Kyle Isbel CF·2-4402000120.288.347.470

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Ragans SP·6.0511011199-705.0099
Daniel Lynch IV RP1.00000009-50.879
John Schreiber RP1.010001018-115.0018
Mason Black RP1.020002018-140.0018

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningPasquantino grounded out to first.
  2. 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  3. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball 2
  4. 1st InningPasquantino grounded out to pitcher.
  5. 8th InningPitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 1st InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningJensen singled to left, Collins scored and Loftin scored, Isbel to second.1–12
  2. 6th InningPasquantino walked, Loftin scored, Jensen to second, Isbel to third.1–5
  3. 7th InningLoftin grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Collins scored and Massey scored on throwing error by shortstop Neto, Loftin second.1–8
  4. 8th InningLoftin singled to right, Caglianone scored and Perez scored, Collins to third.1–10
  5. 3rd InningLoftin walked, Pasquantino scored, Collins to second, Perez to third.0–4
  6. 7th InningMassey singled to left, Caglianone scored, Collins to second.1–6
  7. 4th InningAdell homered to center (416 feet).1–4
  8. 2nd InningLoftin singled to center, Caglianone scored, Massey to third.0–2
  9. 2nd InningPerez homered to left (371 feet).0–1
  10. 3rd InningPerez singled to left, Witt Jr. scored, Pasquantino to second.0–3

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