MIN @ TB
Tropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:10 PM ET⚾ Bailey Ober vs Shane McClanahanMLB.TVTwins.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 6
Final
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Tampa Bay Rays on the back of Tampa Bay Rays’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 77%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 5.
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 77%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
Minnesota Twins
Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreFortes singled to left, Williamson scored, Mullins to third.0–4
- 🏃 DoubleWilliamson doubled to left, Díaz scored.0–6
- 🏃 TripleWilliamson tripled to center, DeLuca scored.0–3
- ScorePalacios hit sacrifice fly to center, Mullins scored.0–5
- ScoreLewis singled to center, Keaschall scored.1–6
- ScoreFraley homered to right center (401 feet), Díaz scored.0–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | — | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Minnesota Twins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .229 | .287 | .429 |
| Austin Martin LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .327 | .500 | .455 |
| Josh Bell 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | .244 | .343 | .400 |
| Ryan Jeffers C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .266 | .397 | .469 |
| Victor Caratini C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .222 | .318 | .278 |
| Luke Keaschall 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .206 | .255 | .265 |
| Matt Wallner RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .186 | .278 | .314 |
| Royce Lewis 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .212 | .328 | .423 |
| Brooks Lee SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .308 | .417 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 83-50 | 3.94 | 83 |
| Taylor Rogers RP | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-10 | 7.27 | 15 |
| Eric Orze RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-8 | 3.09 | 9 |
| Garrett Acton RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-13 | 2.70 | 18 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | .304 | .339 | .343 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .269 | .347 | .529 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .226 | .353 | .462 |
| Yandy Diaz 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .337 | .422 | .475 |
| Jake Fraley RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .240 | .309 | .440 |
| Jonny DeLuca RF | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .286 | .322 | .482 |
| Ben Williamson 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .261 | .338 | .362 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .145 | .209 | .265 |
| Nick Fortes C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .294 | .342 | .412 |
| Richie Palacios 2B· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .256 | .412 | .359 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan SP· | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 86-60 | 3.91 | 86 |
| Kevin Kelly RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32-23 | 4.38 | 32 |
| Hunter Bigge RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11-8 | 4.50 | 11 |
| Trevor Martin RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-13 | 6.23 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningBuxton struck out swinging.
- 7th InningBuxton flied out to right.
- 3rd InningPitch 11 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 3rd InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 2nd InningLewis struck out swinging.
- 9th InningCaratini struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningFortes singled to left, Williamson scored, Mullins to third.0–4
- 8th InningWilliamson doubled to left, Díaz scored.0–6
- 7th InningWilliamson tripled to center, DeLuca scored.0–3
- 7th InningPalacios hit sacrifice fly to center, Mullins scored.0–5
- 9th InningLewis singled to center, Keaschall scored.1–6
- 4th InningFraley homered to right center (401 feet), Díaz scored.0–2