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In The Rafters

PHI @ ATL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET64°F · 2 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Zack Wheeler vs Bryce ElderMLB.TVBravesVision
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies 8 · Atlanta Braves 5

Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeTruist ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Philadelphia Phillies is the model’s call — Atlanta Braves on the margin numbers, Philadelphia Phillies on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 81%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves

Injury Report

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13
Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 TripleStott tripled to first, Marsh scored.4th Inning2–0
  2. ScoreMarsh singled to right, Moore scored and Harper scored.10th Inning8–4
  3. 🏃 DoubleAlbies doubled to center, Olson scored.6th Inning3–3
  4. ScoreHarris II singled to left, Albies scored.6th Inning3–4
  5. 🏃 DoubleRiley doubled to left, Olson scored, Albies to third.4th Inning2–2
  6. ScoreHarris II hit sacrifice fly to right, Baldwin scored, Olson to third.4th Inning2–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Philadelphia Phillies10011001048110
Atlanta Braves0002020001590

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·1-4411001017.229.306.358
Kyle Schwarber LF·1-4411001018.192.339.495
Dylan Moore CF0-001000000.000.182.000
Bryce Harper 1B·2-3322401012.270.357.520
Adolis Garcia RF·1-5501100323.240.315.396
Brandon Marsh LF·2-5512200122.300.326.478
Bryson Stott 2B·2-5502100019.224.272.276
Alec Bohm 3B·0-5500000118.149.226.202
Justin Crawford CF·1-5501000219.244.322.333
Rafael Marchan C·1-4411000115.103.125.179
Garrett Stubbs C0-001000000.333.286.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Zack Wheeler SP·5.032236084-563.6084
Tanner Banks RP0.032200011-97.2011
Orion Kerkering RP1.100011018-113.0018
Jose Alvarado RP1.110000017-97.4517
Brad Keller RP1.100001016-113.8616
Kyle Backhus RP1.021000017-124.6617

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. RF·0-4400001221.226.344.349
Drake Baldwin C·1-4411101224.302.377.517
Matt Olson 1B·2-3322002028.297.378.595
Ozzie Albies 2B·3-5513100021.318.358.500
Michael Harris II CF·2-4402200016.333.365.578
Austin Riley 3B·1-4401100014.217.308.358
Mauricio Dubon SS·0-3300000110.274.324.411
Dominic Smith 1B0-110000016.349.373.571
Jorge Mateo SS0-000000000.292.346.458
Mike Yastrzemski LF·0-4400000213.188.266.247
Eli White CF·0-4410000010.188.206.313

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bryce Elder SP·7.063312092-571.9592
Dylan Lee RP1.011102016-111.3816
Tyler Kinley RP1.012111024-151.5024
Jose Suarez RP1.032213031-185.8731

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 10th InningGarcía struck out swinging.
  2. 10th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 9th InningMarchán struck out swinging.
  4. 7th InningBaldwin lined out to left.
  5. 10th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
  6. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningStott tripled to first, Marsh scored.2–0
  2. 10th InningMarsh singled to right, Moore scored and Harper scored.8–4
  3. 6th InningAlbies doubled to center, Olson scored.3–3
  4. 6th InningHarris II singled to left, Albies scored.3–4
  5. 4th InningRiley doubled to left, Olson scored, Albies to third.2–2
  6. 4th InningHarris II hit sacrifice fly to right, Baldwin scored, Olson to third.2–1
  7. 1st InningGarcía tripled to left, Harper scored.1–0
  8. 10th InningBaldwin singled to left, White scored.8–5
  9. 10th InningHarper singled to left, Stubbs scored and Turner scored, Schwarber to second.6–4
  10. 5th InningHarper reached on infield single to shortstop, Marchán scored, Turner to second.3–2
  11. 8th InningHarper hit sacrifice fly to center, Schwarber scored.4–4

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