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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor3:10 PM CT⚾ Reid Detmers vs Seth LugoPeacock
Result readKansas City Royals

Los Angeles Angels 9 · Kansas City Royals 11

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Kansas City Royals on the back of Kansas City Royals’s margin work and Kansas City Royals’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 71%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreFrazier scored on a passed ball by Jensen, Trout to second on passed ball by Jensen.10th Inning9–8
  2. ScoreTeodosio walked, Peraza scored on a passed ball by Jensen, Adell to third on passed ball by Jensen.9th Inning8–5
  3. ScoreCollins singled to center, Loftin scored.5th Inning6–1
  4. ScoreFrazier scored on a passed ball by Jensen, Trout to second on passed ball by Jensen.10th Inning9–8
  5. ScoreThomas homered to left center (407 feet), Jensen scored and Garcia scored.10th Inning9–11
  6. 🏃 DoubleNeto doubled to left, Frazier scored and d'Arnaud scored.2nd Inning5–0

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Los Angeles Angels24000010119160
Kansas City Royals000012203311120

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·3-5523201121.243.360.443
Mike Trout CF·1-5511211018.232.415.545
Yoan Moncada 3B·2-5502000116.200.348.347
Oswald Peraza 2B0-111000019.280.349.493
Jorge Soler RF·2-6612100224.231.333.451
Nolan Schanuel 1B·1-5501000011.221.284.346
Jo Adell RF·1-4401101225.265.310.385
Josh Lowe LF·3-4413000017.188.250.333
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000106.200.250.200
Travis d'Arnaud C·1-4411001020.150.292.200
Adam Frazier 2B·2-5522100111.267.365.444

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Reid Detmers SP·5.053315193-584.2893
Sam Bachman RP1.032220123-103.6823
Ryan Zeferjahn RP1.200011020-125.6520
Brent Suter RP1.022210029-183.0029
Drew Pomeranz RP0.11110016-37.846
Joey Lucchesi RP0.213211122-1212.0022

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Lane Thomas CF·3-6623310130.226.359.302
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·2-5512210023.294.368.422
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·1-3311101116.160.267.310
Salvador Perez C·1-5511100012.187.221.327
Starling Marte RF·1-3301000212.241.258.345
Jac Caglianone RF1-221121017.263.344.425
Carter Jensen C·0-4410001119.268.351.512
Nick Loftin 3B·1-4411001023.320.433.440
Isaac Collins LF·2-4412211125.232.346.333
Michael Massey 2B·0-2210001016.250.277.432
Maikel Garcia 3B0-1110001010.263.339.384

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Seth Lugo SP·6.1147713197-722.6397
Eli Morgan RP0.210000014-102.6114
Nick Mears RP1.000001012-82.7012
Alex Lange RP1.011132034-187.7134
Lucas Erceg RP1.001012021-144.7621

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 10th InningPeraza struck out swinging.
  2. 7th InningLowe singled to right, Adell to third.
  3. 10th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
  4. 7th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  5. 10th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningFrazier scored on a passed ball by Jensen, Trout to second on passed ball by Jensen.9–8
  2. 9th InningTeodosio walked, Peraza scored on a passed ball by Jensen, Adell to third on passed ball by Jensen.8–5
  3. 5th InningCollins singled to center, Loftin scored.6–1
  4. 10th InningFrazier scored on a passed ball by Jensen, Trout to second on passed ball by Jensen.9–8
  5. 10th InningThomas homered to left center (407 feet), Jensen scored and Garcia scored.9–11
  6. 2nd InningNeto doubled to left, Frazier scored and d'Arnaud scored.5–0
  7. 9th InningCaglianone homered to right (409 feet), Perez scored.8–8
  8. 7th InningCollins homered to right (349 feet).7–4
  9. 7th InningAdell singled to center, Soler scored.7–3
  10. 2nd InningSoler singled to left, Neto scored, Trout to second.6–0
  11. 2nd InningFrazier doubled to center, Lowe scored, d'Arnaud to third.3–0
  12. 9th InningPerez singled to center, Pasquantino scored.8–6
  13. 7th InningPasquantino hit sacrifice fly to center, Massey scored.7–5
  14. 6th InningWitt Jr. homered to center (427 feet), Thomas scored.6–3
  15. 1st InningTrout homered to left center (381 feet), Neto scored.2–0

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