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InTheRafters.com

STL @ PIT

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET61°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Dustin May vs Mason MontgomeryMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 4 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgePNC ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

St. Louis Cardinals is the model’s call — Pittsburgh Pirates on the margin numbers, Pittsburgh Pirates on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 64%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreWetherholt homered to right center (408 feet).9th Inning2–2
  2. ScoreMangum singled to right, Gonzales scored.2nd Inning0–2
  3. ScorePagés homered to left (381 feet).9th Inning1–2
  4. ScoreO'Hearn singled to right, Lowe scored.1st Inning0–1
  5. 🏃 DoubleFermín doubled to left, Scott II scored and Burleson scored, Walker to third.9th Inning4–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
St. Louis Cardinals000000004460
Pittsburgh Pirates110000000280

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-4411110016.238.359.429
Ivan Herrera C·0-3300001120.232.398.404
Victor Scott II CF0-001000000.191.243.206
Alec Burleson 1B·2-441200007.255.333.396
Jordan Walker RF·0-3300001214.275.357.549
Nolan Gorman 3B·0-220000007.220.291.341
Jose Fermin LF2-220220009.276.333.448
George Soriano RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Masyn Winn SS·0-4400000016.253.333.368
Nathan Church LF·0-4400000218.254.295.479
Thomas Saggese LF·0-3300000211.170.228.208
Ramon Urias 3B0-000000000.180.288.360
Pedro Pages C·1-3311110011.255.311.455

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Dustin May SP·6.072222095-605.2895
Ryan Fernandez RP2.000004023-161.5923
George Soriano RP1.010001021-164.3821

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Spencer Horwitz 1B·1-4401000116.257.367.365
Billy Cook RF0-000000000.273.273.273
Brandon Lowe 2B·0-3310001120.240.336.510
Bryan Reynolds LF·0-4400000013.233.375.359
Ryan O'Hearn RF·1-3301101117.316.407.484
Marcell Ozuna DH·0-4400000115.161.228.247
Nick Gonzales 3B·3-4413000114.323.364.376
Konnor Griffin SS·0-4400000015.213.273.300
Jake Mangum LF·2-3302100116.274.328.306
Henry Davis C·1-3301000113.169.269.220

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mason Montgomery RP·1.00000107-63.657
Justin Lawrence RP1.00000109-65.149
Wilber Dotel RP4.000003044-321.3544
Evan Sisk RP0.210000016-102.0016
Isaac Mattson RP0.10000103-31.133
Gregory Soto RP1.010000018-111.8418
Dennis Santana RP0.244420227-153.2927
Cam Sanders RP0.10000105-412.005

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningFermín singled to left.
  2. 9th InningO'Hearn grounded out to shortstop.
  3. 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningOzuna struck out swinging.
  5. 9th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningWetherholt homered to right center (408 feet).2–2
  2. 2nd InningMangum singled to right, Gonzales scored.0–2
  3. 9th InningPagés homered to left (381 feet).1–2
  4. 1st InningO'Hearn singled to right, Lowe scored.0–1
  5. 9th InningFermín doubled to left, Scott II scored and Burleson scored, Walker to third.4–2

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